FULT:NASDAQFulton Financial Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-30 - not real-time
$24.15
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Fulton Financial (FULT) is trading at $24.15, just above its DCF‑derived fair value of $23.21, implying a modest -2% downside. The stock sits comfortably above its 20‑day ($22.83) and 50‑day ($22.02) simple moving averages and also exceeds the 200‑day SMA ($20.18), confirming a strong upward trend. Momentum is reinforced by a bullish MACD histogram (+0.13) and a high RSI of 70, though the latter hints at potential short‑term overbought pressure. Volume is on an increasing trajectory, supporting the price advance and reducing immediate execution risk. The price is near the 52‑week high of $24.44, suggesting limited upside in the near term.
Fundamentally, FULT trades at a forward P/E of 10.2 versus an industry average of 16.9, positioning it as a clear value play. The company delivers a robust operating margin of 40.8% and a net profit margin of 30.5%, underscoring strong profitability. With a dividend yield of 3.15% and a payout ratio of 35%, the dividend appears financially sustainable given ample cash balances and modest leverage (beta 0.87). Return on equity stands at 11.6% and cash flow generation remains healthy, supporting both earnings growth and shareholder returns. The Fear & Greed Index registers “Extreme Greed” (89.9), reflecting bullish market sentiment that may be pricing in optimism. Sector‑specific risks for regional banks are medium, while regulatory and geographic exposures are low to medium, keeping the overall risk profile moderate. In this context, the stock offers a blend of attractive valuation, solid fundamentals, and a dependable dividend, making it a compelling candidate for investors with a short‑ to long‑term horizon.
Fundamentally, FULT trades at a forward P/E of 10.2 versus an industry average of 16.9, positioning it as a clear value play. The company delivers a robust operating margin of 40.8% and a net profit margin of 30.5%, underscoring strong profitability. With a dividend yield of 3.15% and a payout ratio of 35%, the dividend appears financially sustainable given ample cash balances and modest leverage (beta 0.87). Return on equity stands at 11.6% and cash flow generation remains healthy, supporting both earnings growth and shareholder returns. The Fear & Greed Index registers “Extreme Greed” (89.9), reflecting bullish market sentiment that may be pricing in optimism. Sector‑specific risks for regional banks are medium, while regulatory and geographic exposures are low to medium, keeping the overall risk profile moderate. In this context, the stock offers a blend of attractive valuation, solid fundamentals, and a dependable dividend, making it a compelling candidate for investors with a short‑ to long‑term horizon.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish technical momentum with price above key moving averages
- Near 52‑week high limiting immediate upside
- Sustainable dividend supporting total return
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Forward P/E well below industry average indicating value
- Strong profitability margins and healthy cash flow
- Attractive dividend yield with low payout ratio
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Consistent dividend and solid ROE
- Low beta and moderate volatility suggest defensive profile
- Stable earnings growth and manageable leverage
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth4.20%
Profit Margin30.49%
P/E Ratio11.5
ROE11.61%
ROA1.22%
P/B Ratio1.3
Op. Cash Flow$418.5M
Industry P/E16.9
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI69.8
Support$21.00
Resistance$24.44
MA 20$22.83
MA 50$22.02
MA 200$20.18
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.91
Valuation
Fair Value$23.21
Target Price$23.71
Upside/Downside-1.80%
GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.15%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.87
Volatility22.44%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.