FSV:TSXFirstService Corp Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-26 - not real-time
CA$198.94
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
FirstService Corporation trades at CAD 198.94, with its short-term moving averages sitting below the longer-term ones — a bearish trend structure. Across the trailing 30 sessions it lost 2.1%. RSI sits at 50.0, which reads as neutral, and MACD momentum is bullish. The recent range runs from support at CAD 191.67 up to resistance at CAD 205.73.
On valuation the read is fair — earnings multiple of 41.0 versus a 32.9 sector average, above the peer group. The average analyst target implies 17.7% above today's level. Revenue is growing at 2.4% on a 2.9% profit margin. The 0.87% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk comes out at 6 of a possible 10, a elevated reading. With 30-day volatility of 35.2%, a beta of 0.53 and a maximum drawdown of 40.6%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: sell near-term but hold on a long view, at 2/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
On valuation the read is fair — earnings multiple of 41.0 versus a 32.9 sector average, above the peer group. The average analyst target implies 17.7% above today's level. Revenue is growing at 2.4% on a 2.9% profit margin. The 0.87% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk comes out at 6 of a possible 10, a elevated reading. With 30-day volatility of 35.2%, a beta of 0.53 and a maximum drawdown of 40.6%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: sell near-term but hold on a long view, at 2/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
Top Market Events
FirstService stumbled in Q3 as its roofing division contracted 3% organically and margin pressures bit into home...Conestoga Capital Advisors, an asset management company, released its second-quarter 2026 investor letter.Benzinga.com1monFirstService Reports Q2 2026 Results: Full Earnings Call TranscriptFirstService TSX:FSV held its...
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 203.10
- MACD momentum is positive
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- P/E of 41.0 versus sector average of 32.9
- Trading below the 200-day average of 203.10
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 41.0 versus sector average of 32.9
- Analyst targets imply +17.7% versus the current price
- Dividend yield of 0.87%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth2.40%
Profit Margin2.88%
P/E Ratio41.0
ROE11.97%
ROA4.95%
Debt/Equity90.37
P/B Ratio5.2
Op. Cash FlowCA$459.8M
Free Cash FlowCA$319.8M
Industry P/E32.9
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI50.0
SupportCA$191.67
ResistanceCA$205.73
MA 20CA$199.03
MA 50CA$199.52
MA 200CA$203.10
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.84
Valuation
Fair ValueCA$72.06
Target PriceCA$234.07
Upside/Downside17.66%
GradeFair
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.87%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.53
Volatility35.20%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.