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FSLR:NASDAQFirst Solar, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time

$197.80

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

First Solar is trading below its 20‑day and 200‑day moving averages, with the RSI lingering in the high‑30s and the MACD firmly in bearish territory, suggesting short‑term pressure despite a noticeable uptick in trading volume that could seed a modest rebound. Fundamentally, the company is delivering double‑digit revenue growth, robust gross and operating margins, and a price‑to‑earnings multiple that sits well under the industry average, while a discounted cash‑flow model points to a fair value materially higher than the current market price.
Recent fourth‑quarter results painted a mixed picture: revenue topped expectations but earnings per share fell short, triggering a sharp after‑hours sell‑off and a modest price‑target reduction from Barclays, though the firm retained an overweight stance. The broader renewable‑energy landscape remains highly supportive, with an overwhelming share of new U.S. capacity slated for solar, wind, and storage, positioning First Solar for sustained long‑term demand growth.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Recent earnings miss and after‑hours price drop
  • Bearish MACD and price below key moving averages
  • Elevated short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Significant upside potential from DCF valuation
  • Strong profit margins and cash position
  • Industry tailwinds from renewable‑capacity expansion

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained demand growth for thin‑film solar technology
  • Low PE relative to peers and solid balance sheet
  • Long‑term strategic positioning in a high‑growth clean‑energy sector

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth11.10%
Profit Margin29.28%
P/E Ratio13.9
ROE17.45%
ROA7.84%
Debt/Equity6.87
P/B Ratio2.2
Op. Cash Flow$2.1B
Free Cash Flow$963.9M
Industry P/E36.8

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI37.6
Support$187.10
Resistance$250.99
MA 20$215.08
MA 50$232.73
MA 200$215.52
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index76.91

Valuation

Fair Value$220.08
Target Price$257.31
Upside/Downside30.08%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta1.03
Volatility69.15%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.