FRPH:NASDAQFRP Holdings, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time
$22.70
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
FRP Holdings trades at $22.70, just below its calculated resistance of $22.98 and above the 20‑day SMA of $21.51, indicating limited upside in the near term. The technical picture is mixed: the MACD shows a bullish crossover (histogram +0.17) while the broader trend remains bearish, and the RSI sits at 59.8, leaving room for upside but no immediate over‑bought signal. Liquidity appears strong with $96.9 M cash versus $203.9 M debt, yet the company generates zero operating and free cash flow and posts a negative operating margin of –26.4%, underscoring earnings weakness. Valuation is extreme – a trailing P/E of 454 versus an industry average of 32 and a price‑to‑book near parity at 1.02, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth that is not yet evident. Recent news highlights growth in mining royalty volumes (+7.9%) and per‑ton revenue (+6.5%), but occupancy pressures in industrial, commercial, and multifamily assets remain a near‑term drag.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price near resistance with limited upside
- Bullish MACD histogram but overall bearish trend
- High valuation relative to earnings
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Weak operating margins and zero cash flow generation
- Improving mining royalty revenues offset by occupancy challenges
- Continued overvaluation despite modest cash reserves
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Sustained earnings weakness and high debt load
- Valuation far out of line with fundamental performance
- Sector exposure to real‑estate cycles and regulatory headwinds
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-3.60%
Profit Margin2.79%
P/E Ratio454.0
ROE0.09%
ROA-0.17%
Debt/Equity44.88
P/B Ratio1.0
Industry P/E32.1
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI59.8
Support$20.62
Resistance$22.98
MA 20$21.51
MA 50$21.83
MA 200$23.60
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.61
Valuation
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta0.67
Volatility30.24%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.