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FRO:NYSEFrontline Plc Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time

$37.74

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Frontline plc trades at $37.74, well below its DCF fair value of $74.06, implying a ~11% upside to target and a substantial discount to intrinsic value. The stock sits above its 20‑day SMA (36.91) and 50‑day SMA (35.28), confirming a bullish price structure, while the RSI at 55.8 indicates modest momentum without overbought pressure. MACD shows a bearish histogram but the overall trend remains bullish, and stable volume supports the price action. Revenue surged 46.7% year‑over‑year, delivering a gross margin of 49.5% and operating margin of 44.5%, underscoring robust operational efficiency. Free cash flow of $544 M and a payout ratio of 54.7% sustain the 4.66% dividend yield, making the income component attractive.
Recent analyst sentiment softened as Evercore ISI downgraded the outlook to In‑Line, with a modest 10.4% upside implied by the consensus one‑year target of $38.25, suggesting near‑term price pressure. Nonetheless, the company’s low beta (0.35), strong balance sheet cash position, and a forward PE of 12.2 versus industry average of 22 support a longer‑run buy case. The combination of high earnings growth, solid dividend, and a valuation gap positions Frontline as an undervalued, growth‑oriented play with sustainable income.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish SMA alignment above 20‑day and 50‑day averages
  • Support level around $33.53 providing downside cushion
  • Attractive 4.66% dividend yield with sustainable payout

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation gap vs DCF fair value
  • Strong revenue growth and high operating margins
  • Forward PE of 12.2 indicating cheapness relative to peers

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Sustainable dividend supported by solid cash flow
  • Large, modern fleet positioning for future demand
  • Low beta and defensive income profile in a cyclical sector

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth46.70%
Profit Margin19.29%
P/E Ratio22.2
ROE15.63%
ROA6.19%
Debt/Equity122.18
P/B Ratio3.3
Op. Cash Flow$682.5M
Free Cash Flow$544.3M
Industry P/E22.0

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI55.8
Support$33.53
Resistance$39.55
MA 20$36.91
MA 50$35.28
MA 200$27.26
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.61

Valuation

Fair Value$74.06
Target Price$42.00
Upside/Downside11.29%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield4.66%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.35
Volatility40.20%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.