FRBA:NASDAQFirst Bank Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-04 - not real-time
$16.18
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
First Bank trades well below its discounted cash‑flow fair value, offering roughly an 18% upside potential while its price‑to‑earnings multiple sits comfortably under the industry average, signaling an attractive valuation. The bank’s strong operating margin and modest but positive earnings growth, combined with a low payout ratio, suggest the dividend is sustainable and can provide steady income.
Technical indicators show a neutral price trend with the 20‑day SMA just above the current price, a bullish MACD histogram and an RSI in the mid‑50s, indicating limited downside risk but also no strong momentum. Low beta and moderate 30‑day volatility further temper risk, though the regional banking sector carries inherent credit and regulatory exposure.
Technical indicators show a neutral price trend with the 20‑day SMA just above the current price, a bullish MACD histogram and an RSI in the mid‑50s, indicating limited downside risk but also no strong momentum. Low beta and moderate 30‑day volatility further temper risk, though the regional banking sector carries inherent credit and regulatory exposure.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near short‑term support with neutral trend
- Bullish MACD histogram suggests limited downside
- Decreasing volume may constrain immediate upside
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued relative to DCF fair value and industry P/E
- Sustainable dividend and strong operating margins
- Low beta and modest volatility support a stable return profile
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Consistent profitability and healthy cash position
- Potential for earnings expansion as regional banking conditions improve
- Long‑term upside from valuation gap and dividend yield
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth0.40%
Profit Margin32.27%
P/E Ratio9.3
ROE10.24%
ROA1.13%
P/B Ratio0.9
Op. Cash Flow$65.6M
Industry P/E16.6
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI58.0
Support$14.81
Resistance$16.40
MA 20$15.61
MA 50$16.29
MA 200$16.07
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.8
Valuation
Fair Value$25.85
Target Price$19.17
Upside/Downside18.46%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.67%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.58
Volatility20.63%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.