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FRA:XETRFraport AG Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-17 - not real-time

$10.86

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The fund is trading at $10.86, which sits below its 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs of $11.01 and $11.07, indicating short‑term weakness. Technical momentum is bearish, with a MACD histogram in negative territory and an RSI of 38 suggesting the price is approaching oversold levels but has not yet turned bullish. The market price is barely above the identified support at $10.83, so any breach could trigger further downside. Valuation metrics appear mixed: a trailing P/E of 15.5 is modestly below the industry average of 17.1, and the price‑to‑book of 0.84 suggests a discount, yet the discounted cash‑flow model flags a fair value of only $4.58, implying the current price is considerably overvalued. The dividend yield is exceptionally high at 13.68%, but the payout ratio of 212% is unsustainable, raising concerns about future dividend cuts. Low beta (0.37) and a 30‑day volatility of 8.7% point to modest market risk, while the fund’s asset‑heavy exposure to US floating‑rate loans limits geographic and regulatory risk. Overall, the fund sits at a crossroads between attractive income potential and significant valuation and sustainability headwinds.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price below short‑term SMAs indicating bearish momentum
  • Proximity to support level at $10.83
  • MACD histogram negative

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • P/E below industry average and P/B under 1 suggest relative undervaluation
  • Low beta and modest volatility reduce market risk
  • Unsustainable dividend payout ratio threatens income continuity

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • DCF fair value of $4.58 far below current price
  • High dividend payout ratio (212%) indicates likely dividend cuts
  • Bearish technical indicators and lack of growth prospects

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Profit Margin55.85%
P/E Ratio15.5
ROE5.52%
ROA4.17%
Debt/Equity42.62
P/B Ratio0.8
Op. Cash Flow$77.1M
Free Cash Flow$27.8M
Industry P/E17.1

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI38.2
Support$10.83
Resistance$11.20
MA 20$11.01
MA 50$11.07
MA 200$11.77
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.13

Valuation

Fair Value$4.58
GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield13.68%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.37
Volatility8.72%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.