We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

FR:NYSEFirst Industrial Realty Trust, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-18 - not real-time

$68.86

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

First Industrial Realty Trust (FR) is trading at $68.86, just below the 20‑day SMA of 64.13 and comfortably above the 200‑day SMA of 59.35, confirming a bullish trend supported by a bullish MACD histogram (+0.53) and a high RSI of 73.9, which signals short‑term overbought pressure. The REIT delivers solid fundamentals – a 73.5% gross margin, 35% operating margin, and 45.9% profit margin – with robust operating cash flow of $462 M and free cash flow of $239 M, while paying a 2.74% dividend yield on a 70% payout ratio. However, the DCF fair‑value estimate of $16.02 suggests the market is pricing in a significant premium, and the debt‑to‑equity ratio of ~91% highlights leverage concerns.
Recent analyst sentiment is mixed: the consensus remains a “buy” with a median target of $68.5, yet a recent downgrade to “hold” reflects worries about valuation and limited upside. With stable volume, low beta (~0.48) and a beta reported by the exchange of 1.07, the stock shows modest volatility. The combination of strong cash generation, attractive dividend yield, and elevated valuation implies a cautious approach, favoring a hold stance in the near term while monitoring price action around the $69.9 resistance and any shifts in earnings guidance.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • RSI at 73.9 indicates overbought conditions
  • Price approaching resistance at $69.88
  • Stable volume and low beta suggest limited short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst consensus target ($68.5) aligns with current price
  • High payout ratio (70%) and solid cash flow support dividend sustainability
  • Elevated DCF fair‑value gap signals limited upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong operating margins and consistent cash generation
  • Attractive dividend yield (2.74%) with stable payout
  • Industry positioning in high‑growth logistics real estate

Key Metrics & Analysis

REIT Metrics

P/FFO20.44015968214424

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI73.9
Support$60.96
Resistance$69.88
MA 20$64.13
MA 50$62.89
MA 200$59.35
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index87.91

Risk Assessment

Beta0.48
Volatility25.45%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.