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FR:NYSEFirst Industrial Realty Trust, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time

$61.52

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

First Industrial Realty Trust (FR) is trading just above its 20‑day SMA (≈62) while comfortably above the 50‑day SMA (≈61), indicating short‑term bullish momentum despite a bearish MACD signal. The RSI sits near 50, suggesting the stock is neither overbought nor oversold and has room to move higher. Volume trends are decreasing, which combined with a beta of ~0.63 points to lower volatility and modest liquidity risk. The dividend yield of 3.07% and a payout ratio of ~71% reinforce the REIT’s attractiveness to income‑focused investors. Recent news highlights strong leasing activity, with cash rental rates up 32% YoY and same‑store NOI growth of 8.7%, supporting the revenue growth outlook. The current price of $61.52 sits above the identified support level of $60.25 and below the resistance at $64.66, leaving an upside potential of roughly 9% toward the consensus target of $67. While the DCF fair value appears low, the market pricing reflects confidence in the REIT’s cash flow generation. Debt‑to‑equity is high at ~90%, but the balance sheet is supported by solid operating cash flow and a robust ROE of 12.8%. Overall, the blend of stable dividend income, favorable leasing trends, and a bullish price position underpins a positive outlook for FR.
Investors should consider maintaining exposure now, with a view to add on as the stock approaches its resistance and the dividend continues to track growth.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price positioned above short‑term support with modest upside
  • Decreasing volume suggests caution on immediate moves
  • Strong dividend yield and stable payout ratio

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained leasing strength and rising rental rates
  • Bullish SMA alignment and favorable RSI level
  • Projected upside toward analyst target of $67

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term demand for industrial logistics space
  • Consistent dividend growth and attractive yield
  • Resilient cash flow generation despite high leverage

Key Metrics & Analysis

REIT Metrics

P/FFO18.261380236728

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI49.4
Support$60.25
Resistance$64.66
MA 20$62.08
MA 50$60.73
MA 200$56.80
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.61

Risk Assessment

Beta0.63
Volatility18.68%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.