FPXI:NASDAQFirst Trust International Equity Opportunities ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time
$70.28
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The ETF is trading at $70.28, comfortably above the identified support level of $67.96 but still below the 20‑day SMA of $71.50, indicating a short‑term pullback within a broader uptrend. Technical indicators show a neutral RSI at 49.3 and a bearish MACD signal (histogram –0.38), suggesting caution on immediate upside. Volume is increasing despite recent daily volume (5,559) lagging the 10‑day average (20,930), which may support a rebound if buying pressure resumes. The fund’s 30‑day volatility is elevated at 33.3% and beta stands at 1.41, reflecting higher sensitivity to market swings. Nonetheless, the YTD return of 19.3% and a 3‑year return of 23.3% demonstrate strong recent performance, reinforced by an “Extreme Greed” sentiment score of 89.18. With a low expense ratio of 0.70% and zero tracking error, the fund tracks its benchmark tightly, reducing tracking risk. Liquidity appears moderate, as average volumes are healthy but recent trading is below average; however, the upward volume trend mitigates immediate concerns. Currency exposure inherent to a foreign large‑growth mandate introduces medium‑level currency risk. Overall, the ETF sits in a bullish macro environment but faces heightened volatility and beta‑related risk, suggesting a measured approach.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near support but below 20‑day SMA
- Bearish MACD signal and neutral RSI
- Increasing volume trend supporting potential bounce
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strong YTD performance and 3‑year returns
- Bullish trend indicated by SMA hierarchy (20 > 50 > 200)
- Low tracking error and reasonable expense ratio
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- High beta and volatility increase systematic risk
- Medium currency and sector concentration exposure
- Sustained growth potential in foreign large‑cap equities
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.70%
AUM$187.0M
Inception Date2014-11-04
Avg Daily Volume20,930
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield0.67%
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI49.3
Support$67.96
Resistance$74.65
MA 20$71.50
MA 50$67.32
MA 200$62.51
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.18
Risk Assessment
Beta1.41
Volatility33.30%
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.