FPH:NYSEFive Point Holdings, LLC Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-11 - not real-time
$5.00
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
At $5.00, Five Point Holdings, LLC shows a bearish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages beneath longer ones. It has lost 6.5% over the past 30 days. Momentum indicators put RSI at 39.7 (approaching oversold) with MACD reading bearish. Price has been bracketed by support at $4.97 and resistance at $5.24.
The shares look undervalued, trading on 7.0 times earnings below a sector average of 30.7. Revenue is growing at 86.0% on a 45.3% profit margin.
The composite risk read is 5/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 17.4%, a beta of 0.54 and a maximum drawdown of 27.4%, position sizing matters here. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 91 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: hold near-term but buy on a long view, at 4/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
The shares look undervalued, trading on 7.0 times earnings below a sector average of 30.7. Revenue is growing at 86.0% on a 45.3% profit margin.
The composite risk read is 5/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 17.4%, a beta of 0.54 and a maximum drawdown of 27.4%, position sizing matters here. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 91 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: hold near-term but buy on a long view, at 4/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
Top Market Events
Yahoo Finance1monFive Point Holdings, LLC FPH Q2 FY2026 earnings call transcriptFive Point reported Q2 2026 net income...Morningstar1monFive Point Holdings, LLC Reports Second Quarter 2026 ResultsView source version on businesswire.Yahoo Finance15dAMREP vs. Five Point: Which Land Developer Stock Is the Better Buy?The above button links to Coinbase....
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 5.26
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- P/E of 7.0 versus sector average of 30.7
- Trading below the 200-day average of 5.26
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 7.0 versus sector average of 30.7
- Profit margin of 45.3% is healthy
- Revenue growth of +86.0%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth86.00%
Profit Margin45.35%
P/E Ratio7.0
ROE5.99%
ROA-0.12%
Debt/Equity19.51
P/B Ratio0.4
Op. Cash Flow$65.5M
Free Cash Flow$-101281248
Industry P/E30.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI39.7
Support$4.97
Resistance$5.24
MA 20$5.11
MA 50$5.16
MA 200$5.26
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.66
Valuation
Fair Value$9.78
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta0.54
Volatility17.37%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.