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FPA:NASDAQFirst Trust Asia Pacific Ex-Japan AlphaDEX Fund Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-22 - not real-time

$57.63

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The First Trust Asia Pacific Ex‑Japan AlphaDEX Fund (FPA) is trading at $57.63, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of 55.08 and 50‑day SMA of 52.23, indicating strong short‑term momentum. Technical indicators are positive: the RSI sits at 59.9 (still below overbought territory), the MACD line is bullish at 1.19 versus its signal at 1.00, and price is holding above the identified support of 50.26 while approaching resistance near 58.49. Volume trends are increasing, reinforcing the upward bias, and the fund has delivered an eye‑catching YTD return of 53.2% amid an “Extreme Greed” market sentiment (Fear & Greed Index 91.46). However, the fund’s 30‑day volatility of over 51% and a beta of 1.47 signal heightened price swings, and the historical max drawdown of -16.2% underscores downside risk.
Given the zero tracking error and no premium/discount, the ETF closely follows its benchmark, but its regional concentration in Pacific/Asia equities introduces sector and currency exposure. The expense ratio of 0.8% is modest for an active‑style fund, and the dividend yield of 3.48% adds income potential. Overall, the blend of strong technical momentum, robust recent performance, and elevated risk metrics suggests a cautiously optimistic stance, favoring exposure while monitoring volatility and regional risk factors.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Price above 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs
  • Bullish MACD and rising volume
  • Strong YTD return despite high volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained bullish technical setup
  • Elevated beta and volatility may temper gains
  • Stable tracking error and attractive dividend yield

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Concentration in Asia‑Pacific markets
  • Potential currency fluctuations
  • Long‑term growth prospects balanced by drawdown risk

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.80%
AUM$141.8M
Inception Date2011-04-18
Avg Daily Volume8,870
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield3.48%

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI59.9
Support$50.26
Resistance$58.49
MA 20$55.08
MA 50$52.23
MA 200$43.60
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.46

Risk Assessment

Beta1.47
Volatility51.07%
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.