FPA:NASDAQFirst Trust Asia Pacific Ex-Japan AlphaDEX Fund Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-20 - not real-time
$50.63
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
FPA is currently in a bullish technical setup – the 20‑day SMA (51.61) sits above both the 50‑day (47.88) and 200‑day (41.64) averages, and the price of $50.63 trades comfortably above the 20‑day SMA while respecting a near‑term support at $48.38. Momentum is mixed: RSI hovers at 49.7 (neutral) and the MACD histogram is slightly negative, signalling a short‑term bearish tilt, yet the broader trend_direction is flagged as bullish and volume is increasing. The fund has delivered an impressive 35.9% YTD return and a solid 30% three‑year gain, set against a backdrop of Extreme Greed sentiment (Fear & Greed Index 89.18).
Risk considerations include a beta of 1.17 and a 30‑day volatility of 38.5%, indicating higher price swings than the market, while the max drawdown of –16% reflects moderate downside risk. Tracking error is effectively zero and the expense ratio is modest at 0.80%, but liquidity is modest (average daily volume ~11k shares) and currency exposure to multiple Asian currencies adds a medium‑level currency risk. Overall, the fund’s strong upside potential is balanced by elevated volatility and liquidity constraints.
Risk considerations include a beta of 1.17 and a 30‑day volatility of 38.5%, indicating higher price swings than the market, while the max drawdown of –16% reflects moderate downside risk. Tracking error is effectively zero and the expense ratio is modest at 0.80%, but liquidity is modest (average daily volume ~11k shares) and currency exposure to multiple Asian currencies adds a medium‑level currency risk. Overall, the fund’s strong upside potential is balanced by elevated volatility and liquidity constraints.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish SMA crossover and price above short‑term averages
- Strong YTD performance and momentum despite neutral RSI
- Increasing volume supporting near‑term upside
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Sustained bullish trend with support at $48.38
- Elevated beta and volatility warrant cautious positioning
- Zero tracking error and reasonable expense ratio
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Diversified Asia‑Pacific exposure offering growth potential
- Medium currency and liquidity risks may temper returns
- Historical multi‑year returns remain attractive relative to peers
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.80%
AUM$125.8M
Inception Date2011-04-18
Avg Daily Volume15,780
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield3.93%
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI49.7
Support$48.38
Resistance$55.14
MA 20$51.61
MA 50$47.88
MA 200$41.64
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.18
Risk Assessment
Beta1.17
Volatility38.51%
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.