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FPA:NASDAQFirst Trust Asia Pacific Ex-Japan AlphaDEX Fund Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-20 - not real-time

$50.63

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

FPA is currently in a bullish technical setup – the 20‑day SMA (51.61) sits above both the 50‑day (47.88) and 200‑day (41.64) averages, and the price of $50.63 trades comfortably above the 20‑day SMA while respecting a near‑term support at $48.38. Momentum is mixed: RSI hovers at 49.7 (neutral) and the MACD histogram is slightly negative, signalling a short‑term bearish tilt, yet the broader trend_direction is flagged as bullish and volume is increasing. The fund has delivered an impressive 35.9% YTD return and a solid 30% three‑year gain, set against a backdrop of Extreme Greed sentiment (Fear & Greed Index 89.18).
Risk considerations include a beta of 1.17 and a 30‑day volatility of 38.5%, indicating higher price swings than the market, while the max drawdown of –16% reflects moderate downside risk. Tracking error is effectively zero and the expense ratio is modest at 0.80%, but liquidity is modest (average daily volume ~11k shares) and currency exposure to multiple Asian currencies adds a medium‑level currency risk. Overall, the fund’s strong upside potential is balanced by elevated volatility and liquidity constraints.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish SMA crossover and price above short‑term averages
  • Strong YTD performance and momentum despite neutral RSI
  • Increasing volume supporting near‑term upside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained bullish trend with support at $48.38
  • Elevated beta and volatility warrant cautious positioning
  • Zero tracking error and reasonable expense ratio

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Diversified Asia‑Pacific exposure offering growth potential
  • Medium currency and liquidity risks may temper returns
  • Historical multi‑year returns remain attractive relative to peers

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.80%
AUM$125.8M
Inception Date2011-04-18
Avg Daily Volume15,780
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield3.93%

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI49.7
Support$48.38
Resistance$55.14
MA 20$51.61
MA 50$47.88
MA 200$41.64
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.18

Risk Assessment

Beta1.17
Volatility38.51%
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.