FOX:NASDAQFox Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-04 - not real-time
$52.87
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Fox Corporation (FOX) trades at $52.87, well below its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day SMAs (52.75, 55.28 and 56.01 respectively), indicating a short‑term bearish bias. The RSI sits at 46.5, hinting at neutral momentum, while the MACD line has crossed above its signal (+0.31 histogram), offering a modest bullish signal. Fundamentals are mixed: the forward PE of 12.7 is comfortably under the industry average of 17.3, yet the DCF‑derived fair value of $44 suggests the stock is currently priced above intrinsic value. The dividend yield of 1.06% with a 13% payout ratio appears sustainable given strong operating cash flow.
Recent material news adds nuance: advanced partnership talks with Kalshi around Fox News and Fox Weather could unlock new revenue streams, but a Bank of America downgrade to Underperform and a 11% share decline since the last earnings report weigh on sentiment. Overall, the stock presents a value‑oriented profile with modest upside potential if the partnership materializes, but price pressure and valuation gaps counsel caution.
Recent material news adds nuance: advanced partnership talks with Kalshi around Fox News and Fox Weather could unlock new revenue streams, but a Bank of America downgrade to Underperform and a 11% share decline since the last earnings report weigh on sentiment. Overall, the stock presents a value‑oriented profile with modest upside potential if the partnership materializes, but price pressure and valuation gaps counsel caution.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support at $51.19
- MACD bullish crossover amid overall bearish trend
- Bank of America downgrade and recent 11% price drop
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Potential revenue uplift from Fox News/Weather partnership with Kalshi
- Attractive PE relative to industry peers
- Sustainable dividend and solid cash flow generation
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Stable media franchise with consistent cash generation
- High debt-to-equity ratio moderates upside
- Valuation still above DCF fair value, limiting long‑term upside
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth2.00%
Profit Margin11.41%
P/E Ratio12.7
ROE16.82%
ROA8.81%
Debt/Equity67.39
P/B Ratio2.1
Op. Cash Flow$2.7B
Free Cash Flow$1.8B
Industry P/E17.3
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI46.5
Support$51.19
Resistance$54.70
MA 20$52.75
MA 50$55.28
MA 200$56.01
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.8
Valuation
Fair Value$43.97
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.06%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.67
Volatility24.55%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.