FNY:NASDAQFirst Trust Mid Cap Growth AlphaDEX Fund Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-22 - not real-time
$107.94
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The fund is trading at $107.94, comfortably above its 20‑day ($104.54), 50‑day ($101.94) and 200‑day ($95.18) simple moving averages, indicating a strong bullish momentum. RSI sits at 62.2, still in the upper‑mid range but not yet overbought, while the MACD line (1.39) exceeds its signal (1.18) producing a bullish histogram (+0.22). Volume is on an upward trend, reinforcing the price advance, and the market is in an Extreme Greed phase (Fear & Greed Index 91). The price is holding above the identified support of $100.18 and is approaching the resistance at $108.09, suggesting a near‑term upside target. YTD performance of +14.9% outpaces many peers, though the expense ratio of 0.73% is modest for an active‑style ETF.
Risk considerations include a beta of 1.39, implying higher sensitivity to market swings, and a 30‑day volatility of ~24.6%, which could amplify short‑term swings. The maximum drawdown of -12% is acceptable but warrants caution. Liquidity appears moderate; while the 10‑day average volume is ~29,600 shares, today’s volume was only 6,369, indicating potential execution challenges in rapid moves. Tracking error is effectively zero, and there is no premium/discount, reducing tracking risk. Sector concentration is typical for a mid‑cap growth focus, presenting a medium‑level exposure risk.
Risk considerations include a beta of 1.39, implying higher sensitivity to market swings, and a 30‑day volatility of ~24.6%, which could amplify short‑term swings. The maximum drawdown of -12% is acceptable but warrants caution. Liquidity appears moderate; while the 10‑day average volume is ~29,600 shares, today’s volume was only 6,369, indicating potential execution challenges in rapid moves. Tracking error is effectively zero, and there is no premium/discount, reducing tracking risk. Sector concentration is typical for a mid‑cap growth focus, presenting a medium‑level exposure risk.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price above multiple SMAs and bullish MACD
- Increasing volume supporting momentum
- Support level well‑under current price
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Strong YTD return but elevated beta
- Expense ratio remains reasonable for active style
- Market sentiment in extreme greed phase
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Mid‑cap growth exposure offers growth potential
- Higher volatility and drawdown risk over longer horizons
- Zero tracking error and stable premium/discount
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.73%
AUM$570.5M
Inception Date2011-04-19
Avg Daily Volume29,660
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield0.03%
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI62.2
Support$100.18
Resistance$108.09
MA 20$104.54
MA 50$101.94
MA 200$95.18
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91
Risk Assessment
Beta1.39
Volatility24.62%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.