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FNF:NYSEFidelity National Financial, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-03 - not real-time

$46.44

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Fidelity National Financial (FNF) is trading at $46.44, well below its 20‑day ($48.61) and 50‑day ($48.51) simple moving averages, with a bearish MACD and an RSI of 34 indicating oversold conditions. The stock sits just above a technical support level of $46.13 and faces resistance around $52.25, while volume trends are decreasing, suggesting limited short‑term buying pressure. Valuation metrics are compelling: the trailing PE of 16.5 aligns with the industry average (16.6), the forward PE contracts to 7.8, and a discounted cash‑flow model implies a fair value near $203, translating to a quoted upside of roughly 36% versus current price. The dividend yield of 4.48% with a payout ratio near 73% is supported by robust operating cash flow ($5.59B) and free cash flow ($2.11B).
Fundamentally, FNF delivered an 18.2% YoY revenue increase to $3.23B in Q1 2026, with adjusted pre‑tax title earnings up 27% YoY and a 13.1% margin, though EPS of $0.93 missed consensus by ~15%. The company maintains solid profitability (gross margin 54.6%, operating margin 19.3%) and a healthy balance sheet with a debt‑to‑equity of 54.8% and a modest beta (~0.53) indicating lower market volatility. Combined with an “Extreme Greed” sentiment index (92.8) and a moderate max drawdown of 26.5%, the fundamentals suggest a resilient, dividend‑rich business poised for medium‑ to long‑term upside.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price near technical support with oversold RSI
  • decreasing volume limiting immediate upside
  • strong cash flow supporting dividend

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • 18% YoY revenue growth and expanding margins
  • forward PE of 7.8 indicating earnings acceleration
  • high dividend yield with sustainable payout

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • DCF fair value suggesting significant undervaluation
  • stable business model in title insurance and annuities
  • consistent dividend and cash‑flow generation

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth16.70%
Profit Margin5.09%
P/E Ratio16.5
ROE10.47%
ROA1.28%
Debt/Equity54.79
P/B Ratio1.7
Op. Cash Flow$5.6B
Free Cash Flow$2.1B
Industry P/E16.6

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI34.0
Support$46.13
Resistance$52.25
MA 20$48.61
MA 50$48.51
MA 200$53.26
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.79

Valuation

Fair Value$203.06
Target Price$63.25
Upside/Downside36.20%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.48%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.53
Volatility22.74%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.