FNF:NYSEFidelity National Financial, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-03 - not real-time
$46.44
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Fidelity National Financial (FNF) is trading at $46.44, well below its 20‑day ($48.61) and 50‑day ($48.51) simple moving averages, with a bearish MACD and an RSI of 34 indicating oversold conditions. The stock sits just above a technical support level of $46.13 and faces resistance around $52.25, while volume trends are decreasing, suggesting limited short‑term buying pressure. Valuation metrics are compelling: the trailing PE of 16.5 aligns with the industry average (16.6), the forward PE contracts to 7.8, and a discounted cash‑flow model implies a fair value near $203, translating to a quoted upside of roughly 36% versus current price. The dividend yield of 4.48% with a payout ratio near 73% is supported by robust operating cash flow ($5.59B) and free cash flow ($2.11B).
Fundamentally, FNF delivered an 18.2% YoY revenue increase to $3.23B in Q1 2026, with adjusted pre‑tax title earnings up 27% YoY and a 13.1% margin, though EPS of $0.93 missed consensus by ~15%. The company maintains solid profitability (gross margin 54.6%, operating margin 19.3%) and a healthy balance sheet with a debt‑to‑equity of 54.8% and a modest beta (~0.53) indicating lower market volatility. Combined with an “Extreme Greed” sentiment index (92.8) and a moderate max drawdown of 26.5%, the fundamentals suggest a resilient, dividend‑rich business poised for medium‑ to long‑term upside.
Fundamentally, FNF delivered an 18.2% YoY revenue increase to $3.23B in Q1 2026, with adjusted pre‑tax title earnings up 27% YoY and a 13.1% margin, though EPS of $0.93 missed consensus by ~15%. The company maintains solid profitability (gross margin 54.6%, operating margin 19.3%) and a healthy balance sheet with a debt‑to‑equity of 54.8% and a modest beta (~0.53) indicating lower market volatility. Combined with an “Extreme Greed” sentiment index (92.8) and a moderate max drawdown of 26.5%, the fundamentals suggest a resilient, dividend‑rich business poised for medium‑ to long‑term upside.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- price near technical support with oversold RSI
- decreasing volume limiting immediate upside
- strong cash flow supporting dividend
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- 18% YoY revenue growth and expanding margins
- forward PE of 7.8 indicating earnings acceleration
- high dividend yield with sustainable payout
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- DCF fair value suggesting significant undervaluation
- stable business model in title insurance and annuities
- consistent dividend and cash‑flow generation
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth16.70%
Profit Margin5.09%
P/E Ratio16.5
ROE10.47%
ROA1.28%
Debt/Equity54.79
P/B Ratio1.7
Op. Cash Flow$5.6B
Free Cash Flow$2.1B
Industry P/E16.6
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI34.0
Support$46.13
Resistance$52.25
MA 20$48.61
MA 50$48.51
MA 200$53.26
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.79
Valuation
Fair Value$203.06
Target Price$63.25
Upside/Downside36.20%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.48%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.53
Volatility22.74%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.