FNF:NYSEFidelity National Financial, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-04 - not real-time
$45.69
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Fidelity National Financial is trading at $45.69, below its 20‑day SMA of 46.53 and well under the 50‑day (51.17) and 200‑day (54.29) averages, signaling a bearish price trend. The RSI of 39 places the stock in oversold territory, while the MACD shows a bullish signal with the line crossing above the signal line, and volume is on an increasing trend, suggesting potential short‑term upside toward the identified resistance at $50.18. Recent earnings beat expectations, with Q4 revenue of $4.03 billion up 11.9% YoY and full‑year revenue of $14.5 billion growing 7%, reinforcing the momentum from the technical setup.
Fundamentally, the company delivers a solid gross margin of 53.5% and an operating margin of 13%, but net profit margins remain thin at 4.2% and a high dividend payout ratio of 91% raises questions about sustainability. The forward EPS of $6.52 translates to a forward P/E of ~7x, far below the industry average of 16.6x, and analysts project a mean target of $67.2, implying roughly 47% upside. Despite a high implied DCF fair value of $169, the current market price reflects a significant discount, making the stock appear undervalued relative to both peers and intrinsic estimates.
Fundamentally, the company delivers a solid gross margin of 53.5% and an operating margin of 13%, but net profit margins remain thin at 4.2% and a high dividend payout ratio of 91% raises questions about sustainability. The forward EPS of $6.52 translates to a forward P/E of ~7x, far below the industry average of 16.6x, and analysts project a mean target of $67.2, implying roughly 47% upside. Despite a high implied DCF fair value of $169, the current market price reflects a significant discount, making the stock appear undervalued relative to both peers and intrinsic estimates.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Oversold RSI indicating potential rebound
- Bullish MACD crossover
- Recent earnings beat and increasing volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong revenue growth and healthy margins
- Forward P/E of ~7x versus industry average of 16.6x
- Analyst price targets suggesting ~50% upside
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Sustained cash flow generation and high dividend yield
- Significant valuation gap between market price and DCF fair value
- Stable U.S. geographic exposure with low currency risk
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth12.30%
Profit Margin4.15%
P/E Ratio20.7
ROE7.76%
ROA1.10%
Debt/Equity53.14
P/B Ratio1.7
Op. Cash Flow$5.8B
Free Cash Flow$2.0B
Industry P/E16.6
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI39.4
Support$42.78
Resistance$50.18
MA 20$46.53
MA 50$51.17
MA 200$54.29
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.8
Valuation
Fair Value$169.31
Target Price$67.20
Upside/Downside47.08%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.55%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.58
Volatility32.88%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.