FMUN:NASDAQFidelity Systematic Municipal Bond Index ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-20 - not real-time
$49.55
Latest Price
3/10Risk
Risk Level: Low
Executive Summary
FMUN is trading near its short‑term support at $49.43 with a 27‑point RSI, indicating oversold conditions, while the MACD remains bearish and the trend is neutral. Volatility is modest at 3.7% over 30 days and the fund’s beta of 0.075 underscores minimal market‑wide risk. The expense ratio is ultra‑low at 0.05% and tracking error is zero, supporting cost‑efficient exposure to municipal bonds. Tax‑free yield sits at 3.3%, which translates to a 5‑6% taxable equivalent for investors in the top brackets, a point highlighted in recent market commentary.
Liquidity is improving with rising volume, though daily trades remain modest, and the fund’s max drawdown of just over 3% reflects resilience. Overall, FMUN offers a low‑risk, tax‑advantaged profile suited for income‑focused investors, but the bearish MACD and neutral trend suggest caution in timing any new positions.
Liquidity is improving with rising volume, though daily trades remain modest, and the fund’s max drawdown of just over 3% reflects resilience. Overall, FMUN offers a low‑risk, tax‑advantaged profile suited for income‑focused investors, but the bearish MACD and neutral trend suggest caution in timing any new positions.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Oversold RSI (~27) near support level
- Bearish MACD indicating potential further downside
- Increasing volume suggests emerging buying interest
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Low expense ratio and zero tracking error ensure cost efficiency
- Stable tax‑free yield of 3.3% attractive for high‑tax brackets
- Neutral trend and modest volatility support a defensive stance
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Very low beta (0.075) and limited drawdown indicate strong capital preservation
- Tax‑advantaged income aligns with long‑term retirement needs
- Extreme greed sentiment (fear/greed index 89.18) reflects favorable market appetite for safe yields
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio5.00%
AUM$178.4M
Inception Date2019-07-11
Avg Daily Volume11,310
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield3.30%
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI27.1
Support$49.42
Resistance$50.46
MA 20$50.10
MA 50$50.06
MA 200$50.09
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.18
Risk Assessment
Beta0.08
Volatility3.72%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.