FLUT:NYSEFlutter Entertainment plc Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-27 - not real-time
$93.81
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Flutter Entertainment trades at $93.81, well below its 200‑day SMA of $189 and its DCF‑derived fair value of $79, implying a ~73% upside versus current pricing. The stock’s RSI of 36 signals oversold conditions, while the MACD shows a marginal bullish crossover (histogram +0.05) amid a broader bearish trend and decreasing volume. Volatility is elevated at 41% over 30 days and beta sits at 1.09, reflecting higher systematic risk. Fundamentally, revenue grew 17% YoY to $4.3 bn in Q1 2026, driven by iGaming strength and acquisitions in Italy and Brazil, yet net income fell 38% and profit margin is negative, with a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 129 and negative free cash flow. Analysts remain optimistic, rating the stock a “Buy” with a median target of $160, highlighting growth prospects despite the weak earnings profile.
Given the technical oversold backdrop, strong top‑line momentum, and substantial valuation gap, the near‑term outlook is cautious, but medium‑term upside appears compelling if the company can translate revenue growth into profitability and manage its leverage. Long‑term investors should weigh the regulatory and debt headwinds against the firm’s market‑leading position in the global gambling sector.
Given the technical oversold backdrop, strong top‑line momentum, and substantial valuation gap, the near‑term outlook is cautious, but medium‑term upside appears compelling if the company can translate revenue growth into profitability and manage its leverage. Long‑term investors should weigh the regulatory and debt headwinds against the firm’s market‑leading position in the global gambling sector.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Price well below long‑term moving averages
- Decreasing volume and high short‑term volatility
- Negative profit margin and ongoing cash‑flow deficit
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- 17% revenue growth driven by iGaming and strategic acquisitions
- Forward EPS of $8.91 and forward PE ~10.5 indicating earnings recovery
- Significant upside potential versus DCF fair value and analyst targets
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Strong brand portfolio and market leadership in gambling
- Elevated debt load and negative free cash flow limiting flexibility
- Regulatory exposure across multiple jurisdictions
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth17.40%
Profit Margin-2.20%
P/E Ratio10.5
ROE-4.96%
ROA1.15%
Debt/Equity129.37
P/B Ratio1.8
Op. Cash Flow$1.3B
Free Cash Flow$-877374976
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI36.7
Support$91.52
Resistance$111.09
MA 20$99.55
MA 50$103.69
MA 200$189.04
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.21
Valuation
Fair Value$79.33
Target Price$162.72
Upside/Downside73.46%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta1.09
Volatility41.51%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.