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FLT:CRYPTOCAPMarket Cap FLT, $ Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time

CA$0.82

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Volatus Aerospace (FLT) is trading at CAD 0.82, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA (0.715) and with the 20‑day SMA still above the 50‑day (0.648) and 200‑day (0.564) averages, indicating a sustained bullish trend. Technical momentum remains healthy as the RSI sits at 64.9, below overbought levels, and the MACD line (0.052) is modestly above its signal (0.045), yielding a bullish histogram. However, volume is on a decreasing trajectory, and the 30‑day volatility spikes at 93%, suggesting price swings could be sharp. The fundamentals are strained: the company reports a negative trailing EPS of –0.03, a forward PE of –49, and a price‑to‑book of 10.79, far above the industry average, while operating margins are deeply negative (‑26.9%). Debt remains a concern, with a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 49.2 and total debt (CAD 22.5 M) exceeding cash (CAD 17.3 M). Despite these challenges, recent material news – a new NATO defence contract and a conditional graduation to the TSX – injects a strong growth catalyst, aligning with the company’s “strong_buy” analyst consensus. The combination of bullish technicals, high volatility, and a strategic defence win creates a nuanced picture: upside potential exists, but it is tempered by weak profitability and liquidity constraints.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish technical alignment (price above all SMAs, bullish MACD)
  • Recent NATO contract providing near‑term revenue uplift
  • High short‑term volatility and decreasing volume demanding cautious entry

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Conditional TSX listing improving capital access and visibility
  • Growth trajectory in defence and drone services
  • Persistent negative earnings and high valuation multiples requiring upside to justify price

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Fundamental weakness (negative margins, high debt) limiting sustainable growth
  • Potential for strategic partnerships and market share gains in aerospace defence
  • Elevated volatility and liquidity risk that could impair long‑term price stability

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth60.20%
Profit Margin-53.10%
P/E Ratio-49.2
ROE-48.47%
ROA-10.39%
Debt/Equity49.18
P/B Ratio10.8
Op. Cash FlowCA$-21574056
Free Cash FlowCA$-15562313
Industry P/E29.1

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI65.0
SupportCA$0.50
ResistanceCA$0.84
MA 20CA$0.72
MA 50CA$0.65
MA 200CA$0.56
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Target PriceCA$1.05
Upside/Downside28.05%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta0.79
Volatility93.37%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.