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FHN:NYSEFirst Horizon Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-18 - not real-time

$24.81

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

First Horizon (FHN) is trading at $24.81, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of $24.40 and the 50‑day SMA of $24.36, while still below the 200‑day SMA of $23.37, indicating a short‑term bullish bias with momentum supported by a bullish MACD histogram (+0.056) and a neutral RSI (56). The stock sits just above the calculated support level of $23.47 and has room to climb toward resistance at $25.42, with volume trending upward, reinforcing the technical upside. The Fear & Greed Index sits at 92.14 (“Extreme Greed”), suggesting strong market enthusiasm. Fundamentally, FHN trades at a forward P/E of 10.56 versus an industry average of 16.90, offering a valuation edge, and its dividend yield of 2.73% with a modest 31% payout ratio appears sustainable given positive operating cash flow. Revenue growth of 9.7% and an ROE of 11.3% underscore solid earnings momentum, while the upside potential of roughly 8% (DCF fair value $14.20 versus current price) points to modest upside. The balance sheet shows $4.9 B in cash against $5.9 B of debt, leaving a manageable net debt position. Recent material news highlights the bank’s second VETS Indexes Employer award and an expanded financial‑literacy program, reinforcing its community and ESG credentials. Despite a 1.1% post‑earnings dip that lagged the S&P 500, the combination of bullish technical signals, attractive valuation relative to peers, and a stable dividend supports a positive outlook.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD and rising volume
  • Price above key support level
  • Recent earnings dip but no fundamental deterioration

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Forward P/E well below industry average
  • Sustainable 2.73% dividend yield
  • Revenue growth near 10% and solid ROE

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Stable dividend and cash flow generation
  • Moderate leverage with net‑debt position
  • Sector cyclicality and regulatory environment

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth9.70%
Profit Margin29.92%
P/E Ratio12.5
ROE11.26%
ROA1.26%
P/B Ratio1.4
Op. Cash Flow$557.0M
Industry P/E16.9

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI56.0
Support$23.47
Resistance$25.42
MA 20$24.40
MA 50$24.36
MA 200$23.37
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.14

Valuation

Fair Value$14.20
Target Price$26.87
Upside/Downside8.30%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.73%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.91
Volatility21.92%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.