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FFIC:NASDAQFlushing Financial Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-19 - not real-time

$15.47

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Flushing Financial is trading at $15.47, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of $15.81 and the 50‑day SMA of $15.77, indicating a short‑term bullish bias despite a bearish MACD histogram and a neutral RSI of 43. The stock sits just above its technical support at $15.14 and below a resistance near $16.45, with volume trending upward, suggesting accumulating interest. However, the high dividend yield of 5.68% is paired with a payout ratio of 110%, raising concerns about sustainability. Fundamentally, the company’s forward P/E of 9.0 is lower than the current 15.5 and below the industry average of 16.9, while its price‑to‑book of 0.75 signals a discount relative to book value. The DCF‑derived fair value of $4.30 starkly contrasts the market price, implying the market may be overpaying. Yet, modest revenue growth of 2.3% and a solid ROE of 4.9% provide a value‑oriented foundation. The overall risk profile is tempered by a beta near 1 and a 30‑day volatility of 25.6%, typical for regional banks. Considering the recent merger with OceanFirst and the CEO’s recent stock sale, investors should weigh integration risks against potential upside. In this context, the stock presents a mixed picture: attractive yield and value metrics offset by dividend sustainability concerns and a potentially overvalued price relative to intrinsic estimates.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support with bearish MACD
  • High dividend yield but unsustainable payout ratio
  • Increasing volume indicating potential accumulation

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish SMA alignment and overall bullish trend direction
  • Upside potential of ~8.6% based on target price
  • Improving earnings metrics and low price‑to‑book

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Stable ROE and modest revenue growth supporting value thesis
  • Regulatory and credit risk inherent to regional banks
  • Debt level and integration risk post‑merger with OceanFirst

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth2.30%
Profit Margin15.18%
P/E Ratio15.5
ROE4.93%
ROA0.39%
P/B Ratio0.8
Op. Cash Flow$45.3M
Industry P/E16.9

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI43.0
Support$15.14
Resistance$16.45
MA 20$15.81
MA 50$15.77
MA 200$15.21
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.14

Valuation

Fair Value$4.30
Target Price$16.80
Upside/Downside8.60%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.68%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.00
Volatility25.58%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.