FFIC:NASDAQFlushing Financial Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-19 - not real-time
$15.47
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Flushing Financial is trading at $15.47, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of $15.81 and the 50‑day SMA of $15.77, indicating a short‑term bullish bias despite a bearish MACD histogram and a neutral RSI of 43. The stock sits just above its technical support at $15.14 and below a resistance near $16.45, with volume trending upward, suggesting accumulating interest. However, the high dividend yield of 5.68% is paired with a payout ratio of 110%, raising concerns about sustainability. Fundamentally, the company’s forward P/E of 9.0 is lower than the current 15.5 and below the industry average of 16.9, while its price‑to‑book of 0.75 signals a discount relative to book value. The DCF‑derived fair value of $4.30 starkly contrasts the market price, implying the market may be overpaying. Yet, modest revenue growth of 2.3% and a solid ROE of 4.9% provide a value‑oriented foundation. The overall risk profile is tempered by a beta near 1 and a 30‑day volatility of 25.6%, typical for regional banks. Considering the recent merger with OceanFirst and the CEO’s recent stock sale, investors should weigh integration risks against potential upside. In this context, the stock presents a mixed picture: attractive yield and value metrics offset by dividend sustainability concerns and a potentially overvalued price relative to intrinsic estimates.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support with bearish MACD
- High dividend yield but unsustainable payout ratio
- Increasing volume indicating potential accumulation
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish SMA alignment and overall bullish trend direction
- Upside potential of ~8.6% based on target price
- Improving earnings metrics and low price‑to‑book
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Stable ROE and modest revenue growth supporting value thesis
- Regulatory and credit risk inherent to regional banks
- Debt level and integration risk post‑merger with OceanFirst
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth2.30%
Profit Margin15.18%
P/E Ratio15.5
ROE4.93%
ROA0.39%
P/B Ratio0.8
Op. Cash Flow$45.3M
Industry P/E16.9
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI43.0
Support$15.14
Resistance$16.45
MA 20$15.81
MA 50$15.77
MA 200$15.21
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.14
Valuation
Fair Value$4.30
Target Price$16.80
Upside/Downside8.60%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.68%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.00
Volatility25.58%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.