FEX:NASDAQFirst Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-12 - not real-time
$136.13
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The fund is trading comfortably above its 20‑day (≈133.6) and 50‑day (≈130.6) simple moving averages, and even sits above the 200‑day SMA (≈122.4), confirming a bullish trend. Momentum remains supportive with an RSI of 60.1, while the MACD shows a bearish histogram (-0.19) suggesting a potential short‑term pullback. Price action is anchored by a support level near 128.15 and faces resistance around 137, with the latest close at 136.13. Volatility over the past 30 days is moderate at 17.2% and beta is sub‑1 (0.91), indicating slightly lower market sensitivity. The fund delivered a solid YTD return of 14.09% and carries a modest expense ratio of 0.57%. Market sentiment is at an “Extreme Greed” level (Fear & Greed Index 88.3), but volume trends are decreasing, which could temper liquidity.
Overall, the ETF offers broad large‑cap blend exposure with negligible tracking error and no premium/discount, making it a stable core holding. The combination of strong recent performance, low beta, and low expense supports a favorable outlook, while the decreasing volume and bearish MACD signal caution against aggressive short‑term positioning.
Overall, the ETF offers broad large‑cap blend exposure with negligible tracking error and no premium/discount, making it a stable core holding. The combination of strong recent performance, low beta, and low expense supports a favorable outlook, while the decreasing volume and bearish MACD signal caution against aggressive short‑term positioning.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price above 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs
- Bearish MACD histogram indicating potential pullback
- Decreasing volume suggesting liquidity caution
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong YTD return of 14.09%
- Low beta (0.91) reducing market volatility exposure
- Extreme greed sentiment supporting continued demand
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Broad large‑cap blend exposure with no sector concentration risk
- Zero tracking error and no premium/discount
- Low expense ratio (0.57%) enhancing net returns over time
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.57%
AUM$1.6B
Inception Date2007-05-08
Avg Daily Volume24,960
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield0.96%
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI60.1
Support$128.15
Resistance$137.00
MA 20$133.61
MA 50$130.59
MA 200$122.41
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.3
Risk Assessment
Beta0.91
Volatility17.25%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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ETFThis analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.