We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

FEX:NASDAQFirst Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time

$129.60

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund (FEX) is trading at $129.60, just above the identified support level of $127.79 and comfortably below the 52‑week high of $132.85. While the price sits slightly under the 20‑day SMA (130.34), it remains above both the 50‑day (126.43) and 200‑day (120.59) moving averages, indicating a prevailing bullish trend. Technical momentum is mixed: the RSI is near the midpoint at 50.8, the MACD histogram is negative with a bearish signal, yet the overall trend direction is flagged as bullish and the volume trend is stable. The fund’s beta of 0.91 and modest 30‑day volatility (14.3%) suggest lower market sensitivity, and the max drawdown of just 6.45% underscores a relatively resilient profile. Fund fundamentals are solid—a low expense ratio of 0.57%, zero tracking error, and no premium/discount distortion. Recent sentiment is extremely optimistic, with the Fear & Greed Index at 89.29 (“Extreme Greed”).
News coverage reinforces the quantitative picture, highlighting FEX as a “strong ETF” offering broad large‑cap blend exposure, which aligns with its diversified, smart‑beta strategy.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price is near but above the technical support level
  • Stable volume and neutral RSI suggest limited short‑term upside
  • Bearish MACD signal tempers immediate buying enthusiasm

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price above 50‑day and 200‑day SMAs confirms a medium‑term uptrend
  • Low expense ratio and zero tracking error enhance cost efficiency
  • Broad large‑cap blend exposure offers diversified growth potential

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Low beta (0.91) and modest volatility support a defensive long‑run profile
  • Historical max drawdown under 7% indicates resilience in market downturns
  • Extreme greed sentiment reflects strong investor confidence in large‑cap equities

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.57%
AUM$1.5B
Inception Date2007-05-08
Avg Daily Volume18,540
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield0.99%

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI50.8
Support$127.79
Resistance$132.85
MA 20$130.34
MA 50$126.43
MA 200$120.59
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.29

Risk Assessment

Beta0.91
Volatility14.27%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.