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FEP:NASDAQFirst Trust Europe AlphaDEX Fund Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-29 - not real-time

$59.45

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The fund is trading at $59.45, comfortably above its 20‑day ($58.81), 50‑day ($57.19) and 200‑day ($54.08) simple moving averages, confirming a bullish trend. Momentum indicators reinforce this view: the MACD line sits at 0.53 above its signal (bullish) and the RSI is at 56, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions. Support sits at $56.91 while resistance caps near $60.77, leaving modest upside room before the next hurdle. Volatility remains elevated at roughly 20.5% over the past 30 days, and the Fear & Greed Index reads 94.07 – Extreme Greed – suggesting strong market appetite. The ETF offers a respectable 3.02% dividend yield and a modest expense ratio of 0.8%, while tracking error is effectively zero, eliminating concerns about deviation from its benchmark. However, trading volume has been on a downtrend, sitting below its three‑month average, and the beta of 1.02 signals near‑market sensitivity, with a historical max drawdown of about 12% providing a reminder of downside risk. Overall, the fund presents a solid growth narrative supported by technical strength and dividend income, but investors should remain mindful of volatility, liquidity trends, and currency exposure inherent in a Europe‑focused vehicle.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price approaching resistance at $60.77
  • decreasing volume suggests caution
  • MACD bullish but histogram narrow

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • sustained bullish trend above SMA20/50/200
  • solid 3% dividend yield
  • extreme greed sentiment supporting demand

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • diversified Europe exposure with moderate beta
  • reasonable expense ratio of 0.8%
  • historical max drawdown limited to ~12%

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.80%
AUM$514.0M
Inception Date2011-04-18
Avg Daily Volume18,280
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield3.02%

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI56.4
Support$56.91
Resistance$60.77
MA 20$58.81
MA 50$57.19
MA 200$54.08
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.07

Risk Assessment

Beta1.02
Volatility20.52%
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.