FEP:NASDAQFirst Trust Europe AlphaDEX Fund Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-29 - not real-time
$59.45
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The fund is trading at $59.45, comfortably above its 20‑day ($58.81), 50‑day ($57.19) and 200‑day ($54.08) simple moving averages, confirming a bullish trend. Momentum indicators reinforce this view: the MACD line sits at 0.53 above its signal (bullish) and the RSI is at 56, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions. Support sits at $56.91 while resistance caps near $60.77, leaving modest upside room before the next hurdle. Volatility remains elevated at roughly 20.5% over the past 30 days, and the Fear & Greed Index reads 94.07 – Extreme Greed – suggesting strong market appetite. The ETF offers a respectable 3.02% dividend yield and a modest expense ratio of 0.8%, while tracking error is effectively zero, eliminating concerns about deviation from its benchmark. However, trading volume has been on a downtrend, sitting below its three‑month average, and the beta of 1.02 signals near‑market sensitivity, with a historical max drawdown of about 12% providing a reminder of downside risk. Overall, the fund presents a solid growth narrative supported by technical strength and dividend income, but investors should remain mindful of volatility, liquidity trends, and currency exposure inherent in a Europe‑focused vehicle.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- price approaching resistance at $60.77
- decreasing volume suggests caution
- MACD bullish but histogram narrow
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- sustained bullish trend above SMA20/50/200
- solid 3% dividend yield
- extreme greed sentiment supporting demand
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- diversified Europe exposure with moderate beta
- reasonable expense ratio of 0.8%
- historical max drawdown limited to ~12%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.80%
AUM$514.0M
Inception Date2011-04-18
Avg Daily Volume18,280
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield3.02%
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI56.4
Support$56.91
Resistance$60.77
MA 20$58.81
MA 50$57.19
MA 200$54.08
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.07
Risk Assessment
Beta1.02
Volatility20.52%
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.