FEMS:NASDAQFirst Trust Emerging Markets Small Cap AlphaDEX Fund Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-17 - not real-time
$46.61
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
FEMS is trading at $46.61, just above its 20‑day SMA ($46.44) but still below the 50‑day SMA ($47.21), indicating a modest short‑term upside while remaining anchored by a stronger 200‑day SMA ($44.79). The RSI sits at 50.1, suggesting a neutral momentum environment, yet the MACD histogram (+0.05) and a bullish MACD signal reinforce a gentle bullish bias. Volatility remains elevated at roughly 25% over the past 30 days, and the fund’s beta of 0.92 points to slightly lower systematic risk than the broader market. The ETF delivers an attractive dividend yield of 4.25% and a solid YTD return of 11.78%, supported by an expense ratio of 0.80% and virtually no tracking error.
The fear‑greed index is at an "Extreme Greed" level (92), which may signal heightened investor enthusiasm, but the recent max drawdown of about 9% and moderate liquidity (average daily volume ~38k shares) temper enthusiasm. Overall, the fund’s diversified emerging‑market small‑cap exposure offers growth potential with manageable risk, making it a compelling addition for investors seeking income and upside in emerging economies.
The fear‑greed index is at an "Extreme Greed" level (92), which may signal heightened investor enthusiasm, but the recent max drawdown of about 9% and moderate liquidity (average daily volume ~38k shares) temper enthusiasm. Overall, the fund’s diversified emerging‑market small‑cap exposure offers growth potential with manageable risk, making it a compelling addition for investors seeking income and upside in emerging economies.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price marginally above 20‑day SMA indicating limited upside
- Bullish MACD signal with neutral RSI
- Elevated short‑term volatility (~25%)
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong YTD performance (11.78%) and high dividend yield (4.25%)
- Beta below 1 suggesting lower market correlation
- Low tracking error and reasonable expense ratio
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Diversified exposure to emerging‑market small caps with growth potential
- Sustainable income from dividend yield
- Fundamental fundamentals remain solid despite moderate drawdown
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.80%
AUM$262.2M
Inception Date2012-02-15
Avg Daily Volume41,030
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield4.25%
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI50.1
Support$42.30
Resistance$47.99
MA 20$46.44
MA 50$47.21
MA 200$44.79
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.13
Risk Assessment
Beta0.92
Volatility25.00%
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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ETFThis analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.