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FEMS:NASDAQFirst Trust Emerging Markets Small Cap AlphaDEX Fund Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-17 - not real-time

$46.61

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

FEMS is trading at $46.61, just above its 20‑day SMA ($46.44) but still below the 50‑day SMA ($47.21), indicating a modest short‑term upside while remaining anchored by a stronger 200‑day SMA ($44.79). The RSI sits at 50.1, suggesting a neutral momentum environment, yet the MACD histogram (+0.05) and a bullish MACD signal reinforce a gentle bullish bias. Volatility remains elevated at roughly 25% over the past 30 days, and the fund’s beta of 0.92 points to slightly lower systematic risk than the broader market. The ETF delivers an attractive dividend yield of 4.25% and a solid YTD return of 11.78%, supported by an expense ratio of 0.80% and virtually no tracking error.
The fear‑greed index is at an "Extreme Greed" level (92), which may signal heightened investor enthusiasm, but the recent max drawdown of about 9% and moderate liquidity (average daily volume ~38k shares) temper enthusiasm. Overall, the fund’s diversified emerging‑market small‑cap exposure offers growth potential with manageable risk, making it a compelling addition for investors seeking income and upside in emerging economies.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price marginally above 20‑day SMA indicating limited upside
  • Bullish MACD signal with neutral RSI
  • Elevated short‑term volatility (~25%)

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong YTD performance (11.78%) and high dividend yield (4.25%)
  • Beta below 1 suggesting lower market correlation
  • Low tracking error and reasonable expense ratio

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Diversified exposure to emerging‑market small caps with growth potential
  • Sustainable income from dividend yield
  • Fundamental fundamentals remain solid despite moderate drawdown

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.80%
AUM$262.2M
Inception Date2012-02-15
Avg Daily Volume41,030
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield4.25%

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI50.1
Support$42.30
Resistance$47.99
MA 20$46.44
MA 50$47.21
MA 200$44.79
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.13

Risk Assessment

Beta0.92
Volatility25.00%
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.