FDX:NYSEFedEx Corporation analysis
Data as of Sep 1, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- $319.86
- Risk: low
- 3/10Low risk
Summary
At $319.86, FedEx Corporation shows a bullish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages sitting above longer ones. The last 30 days have gained 1.5%. Relative strength is 44.7 — neutral — and the MACD signal is bearish. Price has been bracketed by support at $309.07 and resistance at $341.69.
Multiples put this in undervalued territory: 17.2 times earnings against the sector's 28.6. Consensus targets land 11.4% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 12.5% on a 4.7% profit margin. The 1.49% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 3 — low. With 30-day volatility of 22.4%, a beta of 0.90 and a maximum drawdown of 12.0%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: buy, at a conviction of 7 out of 10.
Multiples put this in undervalued territory: 17.2 times earnings against the sector's 28.6. Consensus targets land 11.4% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 12.5% on a 4.7% profit margin. The 1.49% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 3 — low. With 30-day volatility of 22.4%, a beta of 0.90 and a maximum drawdown of 12.0%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: buy, at a conviction of 7 out of 10.
Top market events
- Seeking Alpha14dThe European Commission approves FedEx-led consortium to acquire InPostThe European Commission...
- FedEx stock traded in the mid-$330s on August 26, 2026, as investors weigh a strong year-to-date ral
- Seeking Alpha25dFedEx: Premium Revenue Mix And Network Transformation Support A BuyFedEx is pivoting to premium B2B,...
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence6/106 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 290.03
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence7/107 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- P/E of 17.2 versus sector average of 28.6
- Trading above the 200-day average of 290.03
Long term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence7/107 out of 10
Key factors
- P/E of 17.2 versus sector average of 28.6
- Analyst targets imply +11.4% versus the current price
- Revenue growth of +12.5%
Key metrics
Financial health
Revenue Growth12.50%
Profit Margin4.68%
P/E Ratio17.2
ROE14.85%
ROA5.01%
Debt/Equity135.70
P/B Ratio2.4
Op. Cash Flow$8.9B
Free Cash Flow$5.7B
Industry P/E28.6
Technical analysis
TrendBullish
RSI44.7
Support$309.07
Resistance$341.69
MA 20$327.30
MA 50$319.34
MA 200$290.03
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.43
Valuation
Fair Value$388.50
Target Price$356.37
Upside/Downside11.41%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.49%
Risk assessment
Beta0.90
Volatility22.43%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.