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FDTX:NASDAQFidelity Disruptive Technology ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-09 - not real-time

$54.62

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The Fidelity Disruptive Technology ETF (FDTX) is trading at $54.62, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of $52.41 and the 50‑day SMA of $46.61, indicating a short‑term bullish bias. The 20‑day SMA also sits above the 200‑day SMA ($41.75), confirming a longer‑term uptrend. Momentum remains positive with an RSI of 60.9, well above the neutral 50 level but still shy of overbought territory. Volume is on an increasing trend, supporting the price advance. However, the MACD has turned bearish, with the histogram marginally negative (-0.008), suggesting that upside momentum may be waning near the current price. The fund’s support sits at $47.40, providing a wide cushion, while resistance at $62.47 caps near the 52‑week high.
FDTX’s YTD return of 32.2% and 3‑year annualized return of ~28.5% underscore the strong performance of its AI‑focused holdings such as TSM, NVDA, MSFT, AMZN, GOOG and META. The expense ratio of 0.5% is modest for an actively managed, sector‑concentrated ETF. Volatility is elevated at 37.8% over the past 30 days, and a beta of 1.8 signals heightened sensitivity to market swings. The maximum drawdown of –19.4% reflects the inherent risk of a technology‑heavy portfolio. Investor sentiment is at “Extreme Greed” (Fear & Greed Index 87.6), further fueling demand for disruptive tech exposure. Given the bullish price action, strong fundamentals, and growing AI narrative, the ETF appears positioned for continued upside, though investors should monitor the MACD signal and volatility.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price above short‑term SMAs
  • Increasing volume
  • MACD bearish crossover suggests caution

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • AI exposure with top‑tier holdings
  • Strong YTD and 3‑year returns
  • Extreme greed sentiment supporting demand

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Structural growth of disruptive technologies
  • Active management capturing AI leaders
  • Reasonable expense ratio for long‑run

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.50%
AUM$257.8M
Inception Date2020-04-16
Avg Daily Volume75,450
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI60.9
Support$47.40
Resistance$62.47
MA 20$52.41
MA 50$46.61
MA 200$41.75
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.64

Risk Assessment

Beta1.81
Volatility37.76%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.