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FDTS:NASDAQFirst Trust Developed Markets ex-US Small Cap AlphaDEX Fund Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-02 - not real-time

$64.34

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The fund is trading at $64.34, just below its 20‑day SMA of 64.86 but above the 200‑day SMA of 63.99, indicating a modest upside potential toward the 66.18 resistance zone. Momentum indicators are mixed: the 14‑day RSI sits at 45.5 (neutral) while the MACD line has turned bullish with a positive histogram, suggesting short‑term buying pressure. Volume is on an increasing trend despite modest absolute numbers, supporting the price’s recent stability. YTD performance is strong at 13% and the fund offers a respectable 2.88% dividend yield, appealing to income‑focused investors. The market sentiment is extremely optimistic, reflected by a Fear & Greed Index of 92.88 (Extreme Greed). However, the fund’s beta of 1.13 and 30‑day volatility of 22.6% signal higher sensitivity to market swings, and a max drawdown of -14% underscores the downside risk in turbulent periods. The expense ratio of 0.80% is modest for an actively managed small‑cap ETF but adds to the cost base. Liquidity is a concern: average daily volume hovers around 1,200 shares with a current market price of $64, implying potential execution slippage for larger orders. Currency exposure is inherent, as the fund invests in developed‑market non‑US equities, introducing moderate foreign‑exchange risk. In sum, the fund shows attractive short‑term price dynamics and solid income, but investors should weigh the elevated volatility, liquidity constraints, and currency considerations before scaling positions.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price near support and 200‑day SMA
  • Bullish MACD signal with increasing volume
  • Extreme Greed market sentiment

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Strong YTD return and 2.88% dividend yield
  • Beta above 1 and elevated volatility
  • Moderate expense ratio

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Potential growth from developed‑market small caps
  • Liquidity constraints limiting large position builds
  • Currency exposure and drawdown risk

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.80%
AUM$13.0M
Inception Date2012-02-15
Avg Daily Volume1,460
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield2.88%

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI45.5
Support$62.07
Resistance$66.18
MA 20$64.86
MA 50$66.63
MA 200$64.00
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.88

Risk Assessment

Beta1.13
Volatility22.58%
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.