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FDTS:NASDAQFirst Trust Developed Markets ex-US Small Cap AlphaDEX Fund Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-21 - not real-time

$68.65

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

FDTS is trading near its 20‑day SMA (68.76) and well below its 50‑day SMA (69.43), indicating a short‑term price pullback within a broadly neutral trend. The 14‑day RSI sits at 49, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions, while the MACD histogram is positive (0.097) despite a still‑negative MACD line, hinting at a modest bullish momentum building. Volatility remains elevated at 26.9% over the past 30 days and beta is slightly above 1 (1.08), so price swings are expected to be pronounced.
On the fundamentals side, the fund delivered a strong 19.6% YTD return and a 24.3% three‑year annualized gain, yet it has experienced a max drawdown of about 12.8% and carries a relatively high expense ratio of 0.80%. Trading volume is decreasing and average daily volumes are low (≈1,600 shares), which raises liquidity concerns. The Fear & Greed Index reads “Extreme Greed” (91.46), reflecting bullish market sentiment that could support further upside if risk tolerances remain intact.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price near 20‑day SMA and below 50‑day SMA
  • Neutral RSI and modest bullish MACD histogram
  • Decreasing volume and high short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong YTD (+19.6%) and 3‑year (+24.3%) performance
  • AlphaDEX methodology offering potential outperformance
  • Acceptable expense ratio for a niche small‑cap international fund

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Diversified exposure to developed‑market ex‑US small caps
  • Moderate max drawdown (-12.8%) indicating manageable downside risk
  • Elevated volatility and currency exposure requiring patience

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.80%
AUM$14.0M
Inception Date2012-02-15
Avg Daily Volume810
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield2.51%

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI49.1
Support$65.76
Resistance$71.73
MA 20$68.76
MA 50$69.43
MA 200$62.67
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.46

Risk Assessment

Beta1.08
Volatility26.87%
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.