FDTS:NASDAQFirst Trust Developed Markets ex-US Small Cap AlphaDEX Fund Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-21 - not real-time
$68.65
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
FDTS is trading near its 20‑day SMA (68.76) and well below its 50‑day SMA (69.43), indicating a short‑term price pullback within a broadly neutral trend. The 14‑day RSI sits at 49, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions, while the MACD histogram is positive (0.097) despite a still‑negative MACD line, hinting at a modest bullish momentum building. Volatility remains elevated at 26.9% over the past 30 days and beta is slightly above 1 (1.08), so price swings are expected to be pronounced.
On the fundamentals side, the fund delivered a strong 19.6% YTD return and a 24.3% three‑year annualized gain, yet it has experienced a max drawdown of about 12.8% and carries a relatively high expense ratio of 0.80%. Trading volume is decreasing and average daily volumes are low (≈1,600 shares), which raises liquidity concerns. The Fear & Greed Index reads “Extreme Greed” (91.46), reflecting bullish market sentiment that could support further upside if risk tolerances remain intact.
On the fundamentals side, the fund delivered a strong 19.6% YTD return and a 24.3% three‑year annualized gain, yet it has experienced a max drawdown of about 12.8% and carries a relatively high expense ratio of 0.80%. Trading volume is decreasing and average daily volumes are low (≈1,600 shares), which raises liquidity concerns. The Fear & Greed Index reads “Extreme Greed” (91.46), reflecting bullish market sentiment that could support further upside if risk tolerances remain intact.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price near 20‑day SMA and below 50‑day SMA
- Neutral RSI and modest bullish MACD histogram
- Decreasing volume and high short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strong YTD (+19.6%) and 3‑year (+24.3%) performance
- AlphaDEX methodology offering potential outperformance
- Acceptable expense ratio for a niche small‑cap international fund
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Diversified exposure to developed‑market ex‑US small caps
- Moderate max drawdown (-12.8%) indicating manageable downside risk
- Elevated volatility and currency exposure requiring patience
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.80%
AUM$14.0M
Inception Date2012-02-15
Avg Daily Volume810
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield2.51%
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI49.1
Support$65.76
Resistance$71.73
MA 20$68.76
MA 50$69.43
MA 200$62.67
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.46
Risk Assessment
Beta1.08
Volatility26.87%
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh
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ETFThis analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.