FDT:NASDAQFirst Trust Developed Markets Ex-US AlphaDEX Fund Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-02 - not real-time
$87.64
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The fund is trading just above its 20‑day SMA of 87.49 at 87.64, while still below the 50‑day SMA of 90.03, indicating a short‑term price pull‑back within a broader up‑trend anchored by a 200‑day SMA of 78.84. Momentum indicators are mixed: the RSI sits at 48.5 (neutral) and the MACD histogram turned positive, signaling a subtle bullish shift, and volume is on an increasing trend, supporting the upside bias. Risk metrics show a modest beta of 0.75 and a high 30‑day volatility of 30%, yet the maximum drawdown of -13.7% remains contained, and the expense ratio of 0.8% is competitive for a smart‑beta ETF. The fund’s YTD return of 22.6% and a three‑year annualized return of about 24% highlight strong recent performance, while the Fear & Greed Index at 78.8 (Extreme Greed) suggests bullish market sentiment.
Looking ahead, the ETF benefits from low tracking error and no premium/discount, a diversified exposure to developed‑market large‑cap value stocks, and a support level near 83.5 with resistance around 91.6. These fundamentals, combined with a solid risk‑adjusted profile, make the fund a compelling candidate for investors seeking exposure to overseas value equities, especially as the macro backdrop remains supportive for developed markets.
Looking ahead, the ETF benefits from low tracking error and no premium/discount, a diversified exposure to developed‑market large‑cap value stocks, and a support level near 83.5 with resistance around 91.6. These fundamentals, combined with a solid risk‑adjusted profile, make the fund a compelling candidate for investors seeking exposure to overseas value equities, especially as the macro backdrop remains supportive for developed markets.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price marginally above 20‑day SMA with bullish MACD crossover
- Increasing trading volume supporting momentum
- Neutral RSI indicating room for upside without overbought pressure
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strong YTD performance of 22.6% and solid 3‑year return
- Low beta (0.75) offering defensive exposure in volatile markets
- Diversified developed‑market large‑cap value holdings
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Consistent historical outperformance with modest drawdowns
- Zero tracking error and no premium/discount enhancing predictability
- Competitive expense ratio and stable currency exposure
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.80%
AUM$1.2B
Inception Date2011-04-18
Avg Daily Volume188,080
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield2.67%
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI48.5
Support$83.50
Resistance$91.60
MA 20$87.49
MA 50$90.03
MA 200$78.84
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.8
Risk Assessment
Beta0.75
Volatility30.15%
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.