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FDT:NASDAQFirst Trust Developed Markets Ex-US AlphaDEX Fund Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-02 - not real-time

$87.64

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The fund is trading just above its 20‑day SMA of 87.49 at 87.64, while still below the 50‑day SMA of 90.03, indicating a short‑term price pull‑back within a broader up‑trend anchored by a 200‑day SMA of 78.84. Momentum indicators are mixed: the RSI sits at 48.5 (neutral) and the MACD histogram turned positive, signaling a subtle bullish shift, and volume is on an increasing trend, supporting the upside bias. Risk metrics show a modest beta of 0.75 and a high 30‑day volatility of 30%, yet the maximum drawdown of -13.7% remains contained, and the expense ratio of 0.8% is competitive for a smart‑beta ETF. The fund’s YTD return of 22.6% and a three‑year annualized return of about 24% highlight strong recent performance, while the Fear & Greed Index at 78.8 (Extreme Greed) suggests bullish market sentiment.
Looking ahead, the ETF benefits from low tracking error and no premium/discount, a diversified exposure to developed‑market large‑cap value stocks, and a support level near 83.5 with resistance around 91.6. These fundamentals, combined with a solid risk‑adjusted profile, make the fund a compelling candidate for investors seeking exposure to overseas value equities, especially as the macro backdrop remains supportive for developed markets.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price marginally above 20‑day SMA with bullish MACD crossover
  • Increasing trading volume supporting momentum
  • Neutral RSI indicating room for upside without overbought pressure

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong YTD performance of 22.6% and solid 3‑year return
  • Low beta (0.75) offering defensive exposure in volatile markets
  • Diversified developed‑market large‑cap value holdings

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Consistent historical outperformance with modest drawdowns
  • Zero tracking error and no premium/discount enhancing predictability
  • Competitive expense ratio and stable currency exposure

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.80%
AUM$1.2B
Inception Date2011-04-18
Avg Daily Volume188,080
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield2.67%

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI48.5
Support$83.50
Resistance$91.60
MA 20$87.49
MA 50$90.03
MA 200$78.84
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.8

Risk Assessment

Beta0.75
Volatility30.15%
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.