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FCX:NYSEFreeport-McMoRan, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-06 - not real-time

$63.37

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) is trading above its 50‑day moving average but below the 20‑day line, with bullish MACD and a neutral RSI, suggesting short‑term momentum is supportive yet fragile. The stock sits near a key support around $58 and faces resistance near $72, while volume has been tapering, indicating a potential consolidation phase.
Fundamentally, the company posts solid revenue growth of roughly 9%, healthy operating margins above 30%, and a respectable ROE in the mid‑teens, but its forward PE of about 17 contrasts sharply with a trailing PE north of 30, flagging a valuation disconnect. High debt levels and a beta well above 2 amplify risk, yet free cash flow comfortably covers the dividend, supporting its sustainability. Recent earnings beats and a copper price rally have driven a 48% share price rally over six months, reinforcing a bullish narrative despite the DCF indicating the current price may be stretched.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD but shrinking volume
  • Proximity to technical support level
  • Elevated volatility and beta

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong earnings beat and rising copper prices
  • Improving forward earnings multiple
  • Robust operating margins and cash flow

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Secular demand for copper in electrification and renewable energy
  • Diversified asset base across stable jurisdictions
  • Sustainable dividend supported by free cash flow

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth8.80%
Profit Margin10.34%
P/E Ratio33.5
ROE15.63%
ROA7.77%
Debt/Equity33.01
P/B Ratio4.7
Op. Cash Flow$6.0B
Free Cash Flow$1.7B

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI47.8
Support$58.30
Resistance$72.09
MA 20$64.74
MA 50$63.26
MA 200$53.27
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index83.02

Valuation

Fair Value$18.17
Target Price$68.27
Upside/Downside7.73%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.95%

Risk Assessment

Beta2.15
Volatility54.96%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.