FCX:NYSEFreeport-McMoRan, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time
$60.49
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Freeport‑McMoRan is currently trading above its 20‑day moving average while remaining under the 200‑day trend line, with the 14‑day RSI sitting in a neutral zone. The MACD shows a bearish crossover, as the histogram has turned negative, suggesting short‑term downside pressure. A beta well above one and a 30‑day volatility above fifty percent point to a stock that is highly responsive to market swings. The discounted cash‑flow model places intrinsic value far below the market price, flagging a significant overvaluation despite a modest dividend yield.
Fundamentally, the company posted solid operating margins and free cash flow, but recent quarters revealed a sharp rise in unit cash costs for copper, eroding profit momentum. Analyst sentiment has turned more positive, with recent upgrades to a Buy rating and a consensus price target near current levels, reflecting confidence in the long‑term copper demand driven by electric‑vehicle batteries. While the balance sheet carries a high debt load, the payout ratio remains comfortably low, supporting dividend sustainability.
Fundamentally, the company posted solid operating margins and free cash flow, but recent quarters revealed a sharp rise in unit cash costs for copper, eroding profit momentum. Analyst sentiment has turned more positive, with recent upgrades to a Buy rating and a consensus price target near current levels, reflecting confidence in the long‑term copper demand driven by electric‑vehicle batteries. While the balance sheet carries a high debt load, the payout ratio remains comfortably low, supporting dividend sustainability.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD crossover indicating near‑term weakness
- Rising unit cash costs pressuring margins
- Price near identified support level
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Analyst upgrades to Buy and stable consensus price target
- Forward earnings growth and improving forward P/E
- Positive copper price outlook supporting revenue
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Secular demand for copper from EV battery production
- Extensive high‑grade asset base across multiple continents
- Dividend yield with a sustainable payout ratio
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-1.50%
Profit Margin8.51%
P/E Ratio39.0
ROE13.95%
ROA7.19%
Debt/Equity34.10
P/B Ratio4.6
Op. Cash Flow$5.6B
Free Cash Flow$1.6B
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI43.8
Support$55.50
Resistance$69.75
MA 20$64.44
MA 50$60.67
MA 200$47.14
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index75.89
Valuation
Fair Value$10.36
Target Price$66.47
Upside/Downside9.89%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield1.01%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.64
Volatility54.46%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.