FCX:NYSE

Freeport-McMoRan, Inc.

Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time

$60.49

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Freeport‑McMoRan is currently trading above its 20‑day moving average while remaining under the 200‑day trend line, with the 14‑day RSI sitting in a neutral zone. The MACD shows a bearish crossover, as the histogram has turned negative, suggesting short‑term downside pressure. A beta well above one and a 30‑day volatility above fifty percent point to a stock that is highly responsive to market swings. The discounted cash‑flow model places intrinsic value far below the market price, flagging a significant overvaluation despite a modest dividend yield.
Fundamentally, the company posted solid operating margins and free cash flow, but recent quarters revealed a sharp rise in unit cash costs for copper, eroding profit momentum. Analyst sentiment has turned more positive, with recent upgrades to a Buy rating and a consensus price target near current levels, reflecting confidence in the long‑term copper demand driven by electric‑vehicle batteries. While the balance sheet carries a high debt load, the payout ratio remains comfortably low, supporting dividend sustainability.

Trading Recommendations

Short Term

< 1 year
hold
Conviction: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD crossover indicating near‑term weakness
  • Rising unit cash costs pressuring margins
  • Price near identified support level

Medium Term

1–3 years
buy
Conviction: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst upgrades to Buy and stable consensus price target
  • Forward earnings growth and improving forward P/E
  • Positive copper price outlook supporting revenue

Long Term

> 3 years
buy
Conviction: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Secular demand for copper from EV battery production
  • Extensive high‑grade asset base across multiple continents
  • Dividend yield with a sustainable payout ratio

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-1.50%
Profit Margin8.51%
P/E Ratio39.0
ROE13.95%
ROA7.19%
Debt/Equity34.10
P/B Ratio4.6
Op. Cash Flow$5.6B
Free Cash Flow$1.6B

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI43.8
Support$55.50
Resistance$69.75
MA 20$64.44
MA 50$60.67
MA 200$47.14
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index75.89

Valuation

Fair Value$10.36
Target Price$66.47
Upside/Downside9.89%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield1.01%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.64
Volatility54.46%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies. Not financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions.