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FBU:NZXFletcher Building Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-09-06 - not real-time

A$3.17

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

At AUD 3.17, Fletcher Building Limited shows a bullish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages sitting above longer ones. Across the trailing 30 sessions it gained 1.6%. RSI sits at 49.0, which reads as neutral, and MACD momentum is bearish. Price has been bracketed by support at AUD 3.02 and resistance at AUD 3.40.
The shares look fair at 21.1 times earnings, though no sector average was available for comparison.
Risk comes out at 7 of a possible 10, a elevated reading. With 30-day volatility of 33.9%, a beta of 0.27 and a maximum drawdown of 32.7%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on hold — conviction 2 out of 10.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 2.89
  • MACD momentum is negative

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 2/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 2.89
  • MACD momentum is negative

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 2/10

Key Factors

  • P/E ratio of 21.1
  • Price-to-book of 1.05
  • Positive free cash flow

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Profit Margin3.80%
P/E Ratio21.1
ROE5.47%
ROA3.30%
Debt/Equity51.15
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash FlowA$715.0M
Free Cash FlowA$97.6M

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI49.0
SupportA$3.02
ResistanceA$3.40
MA 20A$3.21
MA 50A$3.09
MA 200A$2.89
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index95.48

Valuation

Target PriceA$3.13
Upside/Downside-1.42%
GradeFair
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta0.27
Volatility33.94%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.