F:NYSEFord Motor Company analysis
Data as of Oct 14, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- $11.97
- Risk: medium
- 7/10Medium risk
Summary
At $11.96, Ford Motor Company shows a bearish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages beneath longer ones. Over a rolling month the price has lost 13.5%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 34.2 (approaching oversold) with MACD reading bullish. Watch $11.91 as support and $13.83 as the nearer resistance level.
On valuation the read is undervalued — an earnings multiple of 6.1, absent a reliable peer benchmark. Sell-side targets cluster 31.2% above the current quote. Revenue is contracting at 3.8% on a -3.9% profit margin. The 4.96% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 7 — elevated. With 30-day volatility of 30.1%, a beta of 1.21 and a maximum drawdown of 31.4%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: hold, at a conviction of 2 out of 10.
On valuation the read is undervalued — an earnings multiple of 6.1, absent a reliable peer benchmark. Sell-side targets cluster 31.2% above the current quote. Revenue is contracting at 3.8% on a -3.9% profit margin. The 4.96% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 7 — elevated. With 30-day volatility of 30.1%, a beta of 1.21 and a maximum drawdown of 31.4%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: hold, at a conviction of 2 out of 10.
Top market events
- Ford stumbled into a net loss while GM stayed profitable, yet their valuations tell opposite stories, one trades...
- Ford Motor Co. stock closed at USD 14.03 on September 8, 2026 on the NYSE, down just over 4 percent
- Ford Motor Co. stock closed at USD 13.10 on September 22, 2026, down 0.53 percent. July revenue reac
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence3/103 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 13.44
- MACD momentum is positive
Medium term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence2/102 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Dividend yield of 4.96% looks stretched against payout coverage
- Trading below the 200-day average of 13.44
Long term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence2/102 out of 10
Key factors
- Dividend yield of 4.96% looks stretched against payout coverage
- Negative profit margin of -3.9%
- Analyst targets imply +31.2% versus the current price
Key metrics
Financial health
Revenue Growth-3.80%
Profit Margin-3.94%
P/E Ratio6.1
ROE-18.25%
ROA0.35%
Debt/Equity456.71
P/B Ratio1.3
Op. Cash Flow$16.9B
Free Cash Flow$-7940250112
Technical analysis
TrendBearish
RSI34.2
Support$11.91
Resistance$13.83
MA 20$12.47
MA 50$13.38
MA 200$13.44
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.16
Valuation
Fair Value$0.00
Target Price$15.70
Upside/Downside31.19%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.96%
Risk assessment
Beta1.21
Volatility30.09%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.