EXR:NYSEExtra Space Storage Inc Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-01 - not real-time
$132.49
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Extra Space Storage (EXR) trades at $132.49, roughly 15% below the median analyst target of $150 and well above the DCF‑derived fair value of $21.90, indicating a market premium driven by its robust 4.94% dividend yield and leading position in the self‑storage sector. Revenue growth of 4.6% and operating margins above 44% underscore solid fundamentals, while a high payout ratio of 141% signals reliance on strong cash flow generation (operating cash flow $1.85B) to sustain distributions.
Technical indicators are mixed: the price sits below the 20‑day (136.68) and 50‑day (141.14) SMAs, RSI is at 40, and MACD shows a bearish histogram, suggesting short‑term downside pressure toward the $127.65 support. Nonetheless, a low beta of 0.59, stable volume, and recent positive catalysts—Q4 2025 earnings and FFO beating estimates, a $1.62 per share dividend declaration, and Barclays lifting its price target to $170—provide a supportive backdrop for medium‑ to long‑term upside.
Technical indicators are mixed: the price sits below the 20‑day (136.68) and 50‑day (141.14) SMAs, RSI is at 40, and MACD shows a bearish histogram, suggesting short‑term downside pressure toward the $127.65 support. Nonetheless, a low beta of 0.59, stable volume, and recent positive catalysts—Q4 2025 earnings and FFO beating estimates, a $1.62 per share dividend declaration, and Barclays lifting its price target to $170—provide a supportive backdrop for medium‑ to long‑term upside.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support at $127.65
- High dividend yield but elevated payout ratio
- Neutral trend with bearish MACD
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Analyst price target upgrades and upside potential
- Strong cash flow and operating margins
- Resilient demand for self‑storage space
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Market‑leading scale with 4,238 locations
- Consistent revenue growth and high gross margin
- Low beta indicating stability in varied market environments
Key Metrics & Analysis
REIT Metrics
P/FFO15.868171263843227
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI40.3
Support$127.65
Resistance$148.44
MA 20$136.68
MA 50$141.14
MA 200$140.60
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index77.61
Risk Assessment
Beta0.59
Volatility27.56%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.