EXPN:LSEExperian PLC Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-20 - not real-time
£2,630.00
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Fundamentals are exceptionally strong. Experian delivered a record fiscal year with solid organic revenue expansion, margin improvement and EPS growth that outpaced guidance, while generating robust cash flow and maintaining net debt at a comfortable multiple of EBITDA. The board reinforced shareholder returns with a sizable buyback programme, underscoring confidence in the balance sheet.
Technical signals are mixed. The share price has slipped below its short‑term moving averages and the MACD has turned bearish, with RSI hovering near the midpoint. Volatility remains elevated, though beta is low, and the stock is trading near a key support level while market sentiment is in the “extreme greed” zone.
Technical signals are mixed. The share price has slipped below its short‑term moving averages and the MACD has turned bearish, with RSI hovering near the midpoint. Volatility remains elevated, though beta is low, and the stock is trading near a key support level while market sentiment is in the “extreme greed” zone.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- price below short‑term moving averages
- support level offering downside cushion
- recent earnings beat and buyback support
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- sustained revenue and margin expansion
- valuation discount to industry peers
- strong cash generation and manageable leverage
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- global data and analytics franchise with recurring revenue
- ongoing dividend with comfortable payout ratio
- strategic buyback and continued growth opportunities
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth12.20%
Profit Margin17.13%
P/E Ratio23.9
ROE26.77%
ROA9.50%
Debt/Equity105.24
P/B Ratio6.0
Op. Cash Flow£2.1B
Free Cash Flow£1.3B
Industry P/E29.5
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI46.8
Support£2,505.00
Resistance£2,899.50
MA 20£2,677.01
MA 50£2,680.44
MA 200£3,190.07
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index90.38
Valuation
Fair Value£2,542.41
Target Price£4,085.10
Upside/Downside55.33%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.75%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.14
Volatility34.32%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.