EXP:NYSEEagle Materials Inc Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-29 - not real-time
$221.99
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Eagle Materials is trading at $221.99, comfortably above its 20‑day ($206.26) and 50‑day ($199.42) moving averages and just shy of the 200‑day average ($216.70), signaling a strong upward bias. The RSI at 67.4 and a bullish MACD histogram (+1.90) reinforce momentum, while volume is on the rise, suggesting continued buying interest. The company delivered a record $2.31 billion in revenue for fiscal 2026, up 2% year‑over‑year, and posted EPS of $13.16, beating consensus estimates, with analysts maintaining a “hold” stance and a median price target near $225. Infrastructure spending is fueling cement and aggregates demand, offsetting softness in the wallboard segment, and a new Mountain Cement plant is slated for commissioning late 2026, expanding capacity. Despite a solid ROE of 28.9% and low dividend payout ratio (7.6%), the balance sheet shows high leverage (debt‑to‑equity >120%) and a debt load of $1.80 billion, which will be tested by a FY2027 capex plan of $490‑$525 million.
Overall, the stock sits near a technical resistance of $222.42 with a bullish setup, but the combination of elevated volatility (31.9% 30‑day) and high beta (~1.3) introduces downside risk. The modest revenue growth, strong margins, and sustainable dividend support a fair valuation, while the aggressive capital spending and leverage warrant a cautious but optimistic outlook.
Overall, the stock sits near a technical resistance of $222.42 with a bullish setup, but the combination of elevated volatility (31.9% 30‑day) and high beta (~1.3) introduces downside risk. The modest revenue growth, strong margins, and sustainable dividend support a fair valuation, while the aggressive capital spending and leverage warrant a cautious but optimistic outlook.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- price hovering just below the $222.42 resistance level
- bullish MACD and RSI indicating continued momentum
- record Q4 earnings beat and rising volume supporting short‑term stability
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- consistent revenue growth and 2% year‑over‑year increase
- infrastructure‑driven demand for cement and aggregates
- manageable dividend payout and strong ROE suggesting profitability
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- long‑term capex plan targeting new Mountain Cement capacity
- solid free cash flow generation despite high leverage
- low dividend payout ratio indicating sustainability and potential for future increases
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth1.90%
Profit Margin18.36%
P/E Ratio16.9
ROE28.91%
ROA9.91%
Debt/Equity121.83
P/B Ratio4.7
Op. Cash Flow$614.2M
Free Cash Flow$100.3M
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI67.4
Support$188.79
Resistance$222.42
MA 20$206.26
MA 50$199.42
MA 200$216.70
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.98
Valuation
Target Price$223.56
Upside/Downside0.71%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.46%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.27
Volatility31.89%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.