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EXP:NYSEEagle Materials Inc Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-29 - not real-time

$221.99

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Eagle Materials is trading at $221.99, comfortably above its 20‑day ($206.26) and 50‑day ($199.42) moving averages and just shy of the 200‑day average ($216.70), signaling a strong upward bias. The RSI at 67.4 and a bullish MACD histogram (+1.90) reinforce momentum, while volume is on the rise, suggesting continued buying interest. The company delivered a record $2.31 billion in revenue for fiscal 2026, up 2% year‑over‑year, and posted EPS of $13.16, beating consensus estimates, with analysts maintaining a “hold” stance and a median price target near $225. Infrastructure spending is fueling cement and aggregates demand, offsetting softness in the wallboard segment, and a new Mountain Cement plant is slated for commissioning late 2026, expanding capacity. Despite a solid ROE of 28.9% and low dividend payout ratio (7.6%), the balance sheet shows high leverage (debt‑to‑equity >120%) and a debt load of $1.80 billion, which will be tested by a FY2027 capex plan of $490‑$525 million.
Overall, the stock sits near a technical resistance of $222.42 with a bullish setup, but the combination of elevated volatility (31.9% 30‑day) and high beta (~1.3) introduces downside risk. The modest revenue growth, strong margins, and sustainable dividend support a fair valuation, while the aggressive capital spending and leverage warrant a cautious but optimistic outlook.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price hovering just below the $222.42 resistance level
  • bullish MACD and RSI indicating continued momentum
  • record Q4 earnings beat and rising volume supporting short‑term stability

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • consistent revenue growth and 2% year‑over‑year increase
  • infrastructure‑driven demand for cement and aggregates
  • manageable dividend payout and strong ROE suggesting profitability

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • long‑term capex plan targeting new Mountain Cement capacity
  • solid free cash flow generation despite high leverage
  • low dividend payout ratio indicating sustainability and potential for future increases

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth1.90%
Profit Margin18.36%
P/E Ratio16.9
ROE28.91%
ROA9.91%
Debt/Equity121.83
P/B Ratio4.7
Op. Cash Flow$614.2M
Free Cash Flow$100.3M

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI67.4
Support$188.79
Resistance$222.42
MA 20$206.26
MA 50$199.42
MA 200$216.70
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.98

Valuation

Target Price$223.56
Upside/Downside0.71%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.46%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.27
Volatility31.89%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.