EXP:NYSEEagle Materials Inc Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-18 - not real-time
$176.82
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The moving-average structure behind Eagle Materials Inc. is bearish at $176.82, with short-term averages lagging the long-term ones. Across the trailing 30 sessions it lost 16.3%. With RSI at 26.6 the momentum picture is oversold, alongside a bearish MACD signal. Price has been bracketed by support at $175.79 and resistance at $209.96.
The shares look fair at 13.9 times earnings, though no sector average was available for comparison. Analyst price targets sit 24.7% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 2.6% on a 17.3% profit margin. The 0.56% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk comes out at 4 of a possible 10, a moderate reading. With 30-day volatility of 22.6%, a beta of 1.08 and a maximum drawdown of 28.4%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
This one splits by horizon — hold in the near term, buy further out, at 4/10 long-term conviction.
The shares look fair at 13.9 times earnings, though no sector average was available for comparison. Analyst price targets sit 24.7% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 2.6% on a 17.3% profit margin. The 0.56% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk comes out at 4 of a possible 10, a moderate reading. With 30-day volatility of 22.6%, a beta of 1.08 and a maximum drawdown of 28.4%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
This one splits by horizon — hold in the near term, buy further out, at 4/10 long-term conviction.
Top Market Events
Fintel reports that on September 9, 2026, Wells Fargo downgraded their outlook for Eagle Materials NYSE:EXP from...Thompson's sale represents 23% of his direct equity stake, executed as the stock trades near its weighted average sale...
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- RSI at 26.6 signals oversold conditions
- Trading below the 200-day average of 209.59
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 1/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- RSI at 26.6 signals oversold conditions
- Trading below the 200-day average of 209.59
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Analyst targets imply +24.7% versus the current price
- Profit margin of 17.3% is healthy
- P/E ratio of 13.9
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth2.60%
Profit Margin17.32%
P/E Ratio13.9
ROE27.03%
ROA9.23%
Debt/Equity120.75
P/B Ratio3.7
Op. Cash Flow$631.9M
Free Cash Flow$25.3M
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI26.6
Support$175.79
Resistance$209.96
MA 20$190.97
MA 50$201.98
MA 200$209.59
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.98
Valuation
Target Price$220.50
Upside/Downside24.70%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.56%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.08
Volatility22.63%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.