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EXK:NYSEEndeavour Silver Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-01 - not real-time

$9.60

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Endeavour Silver Corp. has posted a striking 115% jump in revenue and a 48% surge in silver production, fueling a recent rally that saw the stock climb over 15% in a single session. The price now sits at $9.60, comfortably above its 200‑day SMA ($8.34) but slightly under the 20‑day SMA ($9.81), while the MACD histogram turned positive and the signal line is deemed bullish, indicating short‑term momentum support. Volume is on an upward trend and the 30‑day volatility is elevated (~80%), reflecting heightened market interest and price swings. Despite these positives, the DCF‑derived fair value is $5.82, implying the market is pricing the stock well above intrinsic estimates, and the company still reports a negative profit margin and a modest cash‑to‑debt balance.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • 115% revenue increase and 48% silver production rise
  • Bullish MACD crossover with rising volume
  • Technical support near $8.00 and upside potential to $12.17 resistance

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Forward EPS forecast of $1.34 and strong analyst consensus (strong_buy)
  • Silver price optimism tied to potential rate cuts
  • Target price median of $16 indicating significant upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Current price well above DCF fair value ($5.82) suggesting overvaluation
  • Negative profit margin and high debt‑to‑equity ratio
  • Exposure to commodity cycles and operational risks in multiple jurisdictions

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth309.20%
Profit Margin-25.48%
P/E Ratio7.2
ROE-22.40%
ROA2.44%
Debt/Equity42.48
P/B Ratio4.9
Op. Cash Flow$67.4M
Free Cash Flow$-28625000

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI45.7
Support$7.99
Resistance$12.17
MA 20$9.81
MA 50$11.40
MA 200$8.34
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index77.61

Valuation

Fair Value$5.82
Target Price$16.17
Upside/Downside68.40%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta1.44
Volatility80.40%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.