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EXK:NYSEEndeavour Silver Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-01 - not real-time

$8.28

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Endeavour Silver (EXK) is trading at $8.28, with the 20‑day SMA (≈8.46) sitting below both the 50‑day (≈9.21) and 200‑day (≈9.51) averages, signaling a short‑term bearish bias, yet the MACD line is marginally above its signal, hinting at a possible early reversal. RSI sits at 45, indicating neutral momentum, while price hovers just above the computed support of $7.36 and well under the resistance near $9.94, leaving limited upside in the near term. Volatility is extremely high at over 76% for the past 30 days and beta exceeds 2.5, underscoring pronounced price swings and market sensitivity. Despite these technical headwinds, the fundamentals are robust: operating margin is a strong 39.9%, gross margin 40.4%, and the latest quarter showed a 78% jump in silver production to 3 million ounces, with operating cash flow surging 400% to $115 million. Forward EPS of $1.32 translates to a forward P/E of just 6.3, and analysts (3) collectively rate the stock as a strong buy with a median target of $16, implying sizable upside. However, the balance sheet is tight—total debt of $251 million yields a debt‑to‑equity ratio near 39, and the company posted a negative profit margin of -3.5%, so the upside is contingent on sustaining cash flow and managing leverage.
Given the blend of high‑beta technical weakness, exceptional operating performance, and a market consensus that the stock is undervalued relative to its growth trajectory, investors should view EXK as a medium‑ to long‑term opportunity while remaining cautious of short‑term volatility and debt‑related risks.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support with decreasing volume
  • High 30‑day volatility and beta >2.5
  • Neutral momentum (RSI 45) and modest bullish MACD signal

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • 78% increase in silver production and 400% jump in operating cash flow
  • Forward EPS $1.32 and forward P/E 6.3 indicating cheap valuation
  • Analyst consensus strong‑buy with median target $16

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained high operating margins (~40%) despite negative net profit
  • Strategic assets in Mexico, Chile, Peru and US reducing geographic concentration
  • Low forward P/E and strong cash generation to deleverage balance sheet

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth230.20%
Profit Margin-3.47%
P/E Ratio6.3
ROE-3.88%
ROA7.42%
Debt/Equity38.98
P/B Ratio3.8
Op. Cash Flow$84.7M
Free Cash Flow$14.1M

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI45.0
Support$7.36
Resistance$9.94
MA 20$8.46
MA 50$9.21
MA 200$9.51
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.05

Valuation

Fair Value$1.71
Target Price$16.17
Upside/Downside95.25%
GradeFair
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta2.68
Volatility76.40%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.