EXE:NASDAQExpand Energy Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time
$106.16
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Expand Energy (EXE) presents a compelling blend of value and growth attributes. The stock trades well below its discounted cash‑flow estimate, offering a material upside while delivering a dividend yield near three percent supported by a payout ratio under half of earnings and solid free cash flow. Recent earnings beat, robust revenue growth and operating margins above industry norms reinforce the fundamental strength, and strategic partnerships aimed at data‑driven operations signal continued efficiency gains.
Technical signals are mixed: the price sits above the short‑term moving average but remains under longer‑term averages, MACD has turned bullish and RSI is neutral, suggesting short‑term momentum could shift higher. However, decreasing volume and elevated 30‑day volatility temper expectations, making a disciplined buying approach advisable.
Technical signals are mixed: the price sits above the short‑term moving average but remains under longer‑term averages, MACD has turned bullish and RSI is neutral, suggesting short‑term momentum could shift higher. However, decreasing volume and elevated 30‑day volatility temper expectations, making a disciplined buying approach advisable.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Quarterly earnings beat and positive earnings surprise
- Bullish MACD crossover with neutral RSI
- Attractive dividend yield relative to cash flow
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Sustained revenue growth and strong operating margins
- Strategic partnerships enhancing operational efficiency
- Significant upside to intrinsic value estimates
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term natural gas demand and diversified shale portfolio
- Consistent free cash flow supporting dividend stability
- Low beta indicating defensive characteristics in a volatile sector
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth38.30%
Profit Margin15.63%
P/E Ratio14.0
ROE10.07%
ROA5.86%
Debt/Equity27.50
P/B Ratio1.4
Op. Cash Flow$4.6B
Free Cash Flow$1.2B
Industry P/E20.4
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI49.4
Support$98.35
Resistance$111.37
MA 20$105.19
MA 50$106.46
MA 200$107.25
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index81.36
Valuation
Fair Value$167.26
Target Price$130.71
Upside/Downside23.13%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.96%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.50
Volatility39.10%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.