EVTL:NYSEVertical Aerospace Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-01 - not real-time
$2.25
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Vertical Aerospace is trading well below its short‑term and medium‑term moving averages, with the RSI deep in oversold territory and the MACD showing a bearish divergence, suggesting continued downside pressure in the near term. The stock sits near the lower end of its 52‑week range, with a support level close to the recent low and a resistance level that remains well above current prices, while volatility is exceptionally high and beta is markedly above the market, indicating strong price swings and systematic risk. The fear/greed sentiment is at the extreme greed end, reflecting speculative enthusiasm despite the technical weakness.
Fundamentally, the company has generated virtually no revenue and is posting sizable losses, negative operating cash flow and a negative book value, which would ordinarily signal a distressed profile. However, the announcement of a large financing package to fund certification and commercialization, along with a strategic partnership for key aircraft components, provides a catalyst that could unlock the substantial upside potential highlighted by analysts. The consensus recommendation is a buy, yet the company also carries a going‑concern warning, meaning investors must weigh the transformative growth narrative against the current financial fragility.
Fundamentally, the company has generated virtually no revenue and is posting sizable losses, negative operating cash flow and a negative book value, which would ordinarily signal a distressed profile. However, the announcement of a large financing package to fund certification and commercialization, along with a strategic partnership for key aircraft components, provides a catalyst that could unlock the substantial upside potential highlighted by analysts. The consensus recommendation is a buy, yet the company also carries a going‑concern warning, meaning investors must weigh the transformative growth narrative against the current financial fragility.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- bearish technical indicators
- high volatility and beta
- recent financing announcement may be priced in
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- completion of eVTOL certification
- execution of the $850 million funding
- analyst consensus and upside potential
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- structural demand for electric air mobility
- strategic supplier partnerships
- potential market share in emerging eVTOL segment
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
P/E Ratio0.3
ROA-104.19%
P/B Ratio-1.4
Op. Cash Flow$-82764000
Free Cash Flow$-404748000
Industry P/E29.1
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI23.4
Support$1.90
Resistance$4.26
MA 20$3.33
MA 50$4.11
MA 200$5.09
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index77.2
Valuation
Target Price$9.90
Upside/Downside339.86%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta2.26
Volatility93.36%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.