EVO:NASDAQEvotec SE Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-01 - not real-time
$2.54
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Technical outlook: The stock is trading below its short‑term moving average, with the 20‑day SMA sitting above price and both the 50‑day and 200‑day averages higher, indicating a bearish price positioning. Momentum indicators show a neutral‑range RSI and a MACD histogram that has just turned positive, suggesting a tentative bullish shift, yet the MACD line remains under the signal, reinforcing short‑term weakness. Volume has been on a downtrend, and the 30‑day volatility is elevated, while beta is modest, pointing to heightened price swings without strong market correlation. Fundamentally, earnings are negative, the price‑to‑book ratio is well under one, and there is no dividend, rendering the stock deeply undervalued on a balance‑sheet basis.
Strategic catalysts: Management recently unveiled the “Horizon” transformation plan, targeting significant cost savings and a modest EBITDA range for 2026, which could improve cash generation. The company maintains a broad network of collaborations with leading academic and pharma partners, providing a pipeline across multiple therapeutic areas. Combined with the sizable upside potential implied by the current price relative to analysts’ targets, these factors create a compelling long‑term narrative despite the near‑term risk profile.
Strategic catalysts: Management recently unveiled the “Horizon” transformation plan, targeting significant cost savings and a modest EBITDA range for 2026, which could improve cash generation. The company maintains a broad network of collaborations with leading academic and pharma partners, providing a pipeline across multiple therapeutic areas. Combined with the sizable upside potential implied by the current price relative to analysts’ targets, these factors create a compelling long‑term narrative despite the near‑term risk profile.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- price below short‑term SMA
- decreasing trading volume
- bearish MACD alignment
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Horizon cost‑savings initiative
- undervalued price‑to‑book ratio
- positive shift in MACD histogram
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- extensive R&D pipeline and collaborations
- potential upside from strategic turnaround
- persistent earnings deficits
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-11.40%
Profit Margin-21.02%
P/E Ratio-13.4
ROE-17.98%
ROA-2.69%
Debt/Equity60.57
P/B Ratio0.5
Op. Cash Flow$1.4M
Free Cash Flow$-207618880
Industry P/E25.8
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI42.4
Support$2.31
Resistance$3.17
MA 20$2.54
MA 50$3.13
MA 200$3.51
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index77.63
Valuation
Target Price$5.24
Upside/Downside106.32%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta0.85
Volatility65.59%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.