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EVGO:NASDAQEVgo Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

$2.00

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

EVgo posted a striking 45.5% year‑over‑year revenue increase to $109.5 million in Q1 2026, pushing full‑year guidance slightly above consensus and underscoring the rapid expansion of its fast‑charging network. However, profitability remains elusive with a GAAP loss of $0.12 per share, operating margin of –29.8% and negative free cash flow exceeding $114 million, while net debt sits at roughly $200 million after accounting for cash on hand. Technical indicators are mixed: the 20‑day SMA (≈$2.06) hovers just above the 50‑day SMA, RSI is neutral at 46.9, and the MACD histogram is bearish, suggesting limited upside in the near term. The stock trades near its support level of $1.78 and faces resistance around $2.55, yet the market’s “Extreme Greed” sentiment and an implied upside of 112.5% relative to current price hint at speculative enthusiasm. High beta (≈2.5) and 30‑day volatility near 80% amplify price swings, while the consumer‑cyclical nature of the EV‑charging sector adds sector‑specific risk. Looking ahead, the combination of robust revenue growth, expanding EV adoption, and a target mean price of $4.25 offers a compelling long‑term narrative, but execution risk remains high due to ongoing losses and leverage.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD histogram and approaching resistance at $2.55
  • High short‑term volatility and beta
  • Current price near support but limited upside without earnings improvement

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth (+45.5% YoY) and guidance above estimates
  • Significant upside potential indicated by target median price of $3.5
  • Expanding EV market and network rollout opportunities

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term secular trend toward electric vehicle adoption
  • Strategic positioning as one of the largest U.S. fast‑charging operators
  • Potential for improved economics as scale drives margins

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth45.50%
Profit Margin-11.15%
P/E Ratio-6.1
ROE-27.38%
ROA-6.95%
Debt/Equity91.44
P/B Ratio-2.3
Op. Cash Flow$-32850000
Free Cash Flow$-114275752

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI46.9
Support$1.78
Resistance$2.55
MA 20$2.06
MA 50$2.05
MA 200$3.01
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Target Price$4.25
Upside/Downside112.50%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta2.54
Volatility79.91%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.