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EVF:NYSEEaton Vance Senior Income Trust Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-01 - not real-time

$5.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

EVF is trading just above its 20‑day SMA at $4.995, while remaining below the 50‑day ($5.134) and 200‑day ($5.390) averages, indicating a short‑term pullback within a longer‑term downtrend. The RSI of 47 suggests momentum is near neutral, and the MACD histogram has turned positive, giving a modest bullish signal despite the overall bearish trend. Dividend yield remains exceptionally high at 9.19%, which cushions income‑focused investors against price volatility. Beta is low at 0.306, pointing to limited correlation with broader market swings, yet the 30‑day volatility of 13.7% and a max drawdown of 16.5% highlight notable price swings for a fixed‑income‑oriented vehicle. The fund shows a stable discount/premium level, with no current discount, and volume has been stable around 100k shares, supporting adequate liquidity. Market sentiment is in the “Extreme Greed” zone (fear‑greed index 77.39), which may temporarily lift prices despite the underlying bearish technical backdrop. Support sits near $4.85 and resistance near $5.10, framing a narrow trading range that the fund is currently navigating. Given the high yield and low market beta, the fund offers attractive income but carries concentration risk typical of senior‑income portfolios. Investors should weigh the modest upside potential against the risk of further downside if the broader credit environment tightens. Overall, EVF presents a nuanced picture: solid income generation tempered by technical weakness and moderate risk factors.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near support with limited upside to $5.10
  • High dividend yield providing income cushion
  • Bullish MACD histogram indicating a potential short‑term bounce

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Persistent bearish trend below longer‑term SMAs
  • Low beta reducing market‑wide volatility exposure
  • Stable discount/premium suggesting pricing efficiency

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Attractive 9.19% yield appealing for income investors
  • Low correlation with equity markets offering diversification
  • Potential for price appreciation if credit spreads narrow

Key Metrics & Analysis

Closed-End Fund Metrics

Market Price4.995
Discount/Premium0.00%
Discount TrendStable

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI47.3
Support$4.85
Resistance$5.10
MA 20$4.97
MA 50$5.13
MA 200$5.39
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index77.39

Risk Assessment

Beta0.45
Volatility13.72%
Sector RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.