EVEX:NYSEEve Holding, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-21 - not real-time
$2.85
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Eve Holding, Inc. (EVEX) is trading at $2.85, which sits just above its 20‑day simple moving average of roughly $2.97 and comfortably above the 50‑day SMA of about $2.78, yet still below the 200‑day SMA near $3.82, indicating a price that is currently modestly bullish on short‑term momentum indicators. The technical suite shows a neutral RSI (~46) and a bearish MACD signal, with the histogram turning negative, suggesting short‑term downside pressure, while the stock is perched near a calculated support of $2.585 and well under the resistance level of $3.425, framing a narrow trading range.
Fundamentally, the company reports zero revenue, negative margins, a sizeable net loss (EBITDA of –$237.9 M and EPS of –$0.74), a distressing debt‑to‑equity ratio above 500, and a beta of roughly 2.5, all of which combine with a 30‑day volatility of over 70% and a max drawdown of –68% to paint a picture of severe financial fragility. Despite recent news of successful test flights and a record cash balance of $432 M, these operational highlights have not translated into earnings or cash‑flow generation, leaving the upside largely speculative.
Fundamentally, the company reports zero revenue, negative margins, a sizeable net loss (EBITDA of –$237.9 M and EPS of –$0.74), a distressing debt‑to‑equity ratio above 500, and a beta of roughly 2.5, all of which combine with a 30‑day volatility of over 70% and a max drawdown of –68% to paint a picture of severe financial fragility. Despite recent news of successful test flights and a record cash balance of $432 M, these operational highlights have not translated into earnings or cash‑flow generation, leaving the upside largely speculative.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- bearish MACD signal
- neutral RSI near 50
- price near support with limited upside
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- zero revenue and negative earnings
- high debt‑to‑equity and beta
- extreme volatility and drawdown
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- lack of sustainable cash‑flow
- ongoing regulatory and sector headwinds
- speculative nature of test‑flight news
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
P/E Ratio-4.4
ROE-369.58%
ROA-37.91%
Debt/Equity533.83
P/B Ratio17.7
Op. Cash Flow$-203667008
Free Cash Flow$-146164624
Industry P/E29.5
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI46.3
Support$2.59
Resistance$3.42
MA 20$2.97
MA 50$2.78
MA 200$3.82
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.29
Valuation
Target Price$6.44
Upside/Downside125.81%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta2.50
Volatility72.35%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.