ESS:NYSEEssex Property Trust, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-08 - not real-time
$278.61
Latest Price
3/10Risk
Risk Level: Low
Executive Summary
At $278.61, Essex Property Trust, Inc. shows no decisive moving-average alignment, leaving the trend neutral. The last 30 days have lost 5.1%. Relative strength is 40.8 — neutral — and the MACD signal is bearish. Watch $275.00 as support and $294.72 as the nearer resistance level.
Valuation screens as fair: a P/E of 43.5 sits above the sector average of 31.3. Sell-side targets cluster 9.5% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 3.1% on a 20.9% profit margin. The 3.72% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
Risk scores 3 out of 10, which is low for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 22.8%, a beta of 0.13 and a maximum drawdown of 10.9%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to hold, carrying 2/10 conviction.
Valuation screens as fair: a P/E of 43.5 sits above the sector average of 31.3. Sell-side targets cluster 9.5% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 3.1% on a 20.9% profit margin. The 3.72% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
Risk scores 3 out of 10, which is low for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 22.8%, a beta of 0.13 and a maximum drawdown of 10.9%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to hold, carrying 2/10 conviction.
Top Market Events
Updated Jul 8, 2026 0 SAN MATEO, Calif.-- BUSINESS WIRE --Jul 8, 2026-- Essex Property Trust, Inc. NYSE:ESS announced...Essex Property Trust Inc ESS raises full-year core FFO guidance by 1.Essex Property Trust ESS delivered FFO and revenue surprises of +1.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Trading above the 200-day average of 267.02
- MACD momentum is negative
- 30-day price change of -5.1%
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 43.5 versus sector average of 31.3
- Dividend yield of 3.72% looks stretched against payout coverage
- Trading above the 200-day average of 267.02
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 43.5 versus sector average of 31.3
- Dividend yield of 3.72% looks stretched against payout coverage
- Analyst targets imply +9.5% versus the current price
Key Metrics & Analysis
REIT Metrics
P/FFO17.17799155194512
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI40.8
Support$275.00
Resistance$294.72
MA 20$284.39
MA 50$289.31
MA 200$267.02
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.11
Risk Assessment
Beta0.13
Volatility22.84%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.