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EPAC:NYSEEnerpac Tool Group Corp. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-17 - not real-time

$35.30

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Enerpac Tool Group trades around $35.3, sitting just below its recent resistance of $36.15 and comfortably above the identified support of $32.35. The 20‑day SMA lies beneath the current price while the 50‑day SMA remains above, suggesting a short‑term pullback within a longer‑term downtrend. Momentum indicators are mixed: the RSI hovers near the neutral 55 level and the MACD histogram is positive, pointing to underlying bullish pressure despite an overall bearish trend direction. Volatility is elevated at roughly 25% over the past month, and a beta near 1 indicates the stock moves closely with the market, adding to price swing risk. Fundamentally, the company delivers solid profitability with a gross margin near 49% and operating margin around 18%, while ROE exceeds 20%. The forward PE of 16.2 is well below the industry average PE of 31, hinting at relative value, yet the DCF‑derived fair value of $30.4 sits under the market price, implying limited upside from intrinsic valuation. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage (debt‑to‑equity ~46%) and ample cash, but no dividend commitment. Recent leadership promotions signal continuity in management, which could support operational execution. Analyst coverage is thin, with only two forecasts and no consensus recommendation, adding an element of uncertainty. Overall, the stock presents a blend of value and growth attributes, with short‑term price pressure offset by medium‑term fundamentals and a potential upside of up to 40% according to upside/downside metrics.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near resistance with limited upside on the chart
  • Mixed technical signals (bearish trend but bullish MACD histogram)
  • Elevated short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Forward PE substantially below industry average
  • Strong operating margins and ROE indicating earnings growth potential
  • Leadership continuity after recent executive promotions

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Solid cash generation and manageable leverage
  • No dividend but reinvestment into growth avenues
  • Industry exposure to infrastructure and renewable energy markets

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth6.40%
Profit Margin13.69%
P/E Ratio22.2
ROE21.04%
ROA10.62%
Debt/Equity45.95
P/B Ratio4.5
Op. Cash Flow$124.2M
Free Cash Flow$97.6M
Industry P/E31.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI55.9
Support$32.35
Resistance$36.15
MA 20$34.25
MA 50$34.84
MA 200$38.55
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index88.73

Valuation

Fair Value$30.42
Target Price$50.50
Upside/Downside43.06%
GradeFair
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta0.98
Volatility25.24%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.