ENLT:TASEEnlight Renewable Energy Ltd Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-18 - not real-time
$80.53
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Enlight Renewable Energy (ENLT) is trading at $80.53, well below its 20‑day SMA of 95.92 and 50‑day SMA of 89.59, indicating short‑term weakness, while still above the 200‑day SMA of 58.29. The RSI of 38 suggests the stock is approaching oversold territory, yet the MACD remains bearish with the line under the signal, and volume is on a decreasing trend, reinforcing a near‑term downside bias. Valuation metrics are extreme: a trailing PE of 196x versus an industry average of 20x, and a DCF‑derived fair value of only $26.77, implying the market price is dramatically overvalued.
On the fundamentals side, ENLT posted a robust 42.6% revenue growth and maintains high gross (72.8%) and operating (54.8%) margins, but its free cash flow is deeply negative (‑$1.84 bn) and debt‑to‑equity sits at an alarming 220. The company’s strategic push into AI‑powered data‑center power‑purchase agreements—including a high‑profile deal with Google and new 250 MW solar projects in the U.S.—provides a compelling growth narrative targeting a $2.1 bn revenue run‑rate by 2028. However, the combination of high leverage, cash burn, and an overextended valuation creates significant upside risk limited to roughly 2.4% per the upside/downside metric.
On the fundamentals side, ENLT posted a robust 42.6% revenue growth and maintains high gross (72.8%) and operating (54.8%) margins, but its free cash flow is deeply negative (‑$1.84 bn) and debt‑to‑equity sits at an alarming 220. The company’s strategic push into AI‑powered data‑center power‑purchase agreements—including a high‑profile deal with Google and new 250 MW solar projects in the U.S.—provides a compelling growth narrative targeting a $2.1 bn revenue run‑rate by 2028. However, the combination of high leverage, cash burn, and an overextended valuation creates significant upside risk limited to roughly 2.4% per the upside/downside metric.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price below 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs
- Bearish MACD histogram
- Extreme valuation (PE ~196x) and negative free cash flow
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Strong revenue growth trajectory and high operating margins
- Strategic AI data‑center contracts expanding revenue base
- Persistent high debt levels and cash‑flow deficits
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term capacity expansion to 12‑13 GW by 2028
- Potential for improved cash generation as projects mature
- Elevated leverage and valuation risk may limit upside
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth42.60%
Profit Margin11.53%
P/E Ratio196.4
ROE4.80%
ROA2.20%
Debt/Equity220.40
P/B Ratio5.1
Op. Cash Flow$319.6M
Free Cash Flow$-1842522112
Industry P/E20.5
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI38.0
Support$80.52
Resistance$108.65
MA 20$95.92
MA 50$89.59
MA 200$58.29
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.5
Valuation
Fair Value$26.77
Target Price$82.43
Upside/Downside2.36%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta1.98
Volatility82.82%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.