ENLT:TASEEnlight Renewable Energy Ltd Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-20 - not real-time
$85.42
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
ENLT is trading at $85.42, which sits just below its 20‑day SMA of $88.94 but comfortably above the 50‑day ($79.64) and 200‑day ($51.28) averages, indicating a short‑term pull‑back within a longer‑term uptrend. The stock finds technical support around $80.70 and faces resistance near $96, while the RSI of 49.7 suggests neutral momentum. Volume has been increasing, yet the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is higher than the MACD line, flagging a bearish short‑term bias. A 30‑day volatility of roughly 57% and a computed beta of 1.74 point to pronounced price swings relative to the market. On the fundamentals side, revenue surged 42.6% year‑over‑year to $535 million and margins remain robust, with a gross margin of 72.8% and operating margin of 54.8%.
EPS is expected to climb from $0.41 trailing to $0.95 forward, reflecting improving profitability. However, the balance sheet is strained: total debt exceeds $5.3 billion, yielding a debt‑to‑equity ratio above 220, and free cash flow is deeply negative at –$1.84 billion. The trailing P/E of 208 versus an industry average of 21.5 signals that the market is pricing in substantial growth premium. Recent earnings beat (+14% surprise) and a 46% revenue jump for 2025 provide momentum, but Deutsche Bank’s revised price target of $65—well below the current price—keeps the upside limited. Overall, the stock’s valuation appears stretched, the leverage high, and the technical picture mixed, suggesting caution despite strong growth fundamentals.
EPS is expected to climb from $0.41 trailing to $0.95 forward, reflecting improving profitability. However, the balance sheet is strained: total debt exceeds $5.3 billion, yielding a debt‑to‑equity ratio above 220, and free cash flow is deeply negative at –$1.84 billion. The trailing P/E of 208 versus an industry average of 21.5 signals that the market is pricing in substantial growth premium. Recent earnings beat (+14% surprise) and a 46% revenue jump for 2025 provide momentum, but Deutsche Bank’s revised price target of $65—well below the current price—keeps the upside limited. Overall, the stock’s valuation appears stretched, the leverage high, and the technical picture mixed, suggesting caution despite strong growth fundamentals.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near resistance with bearish MACD
- High volatility and beta
- Negative free cash flow
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Strong revenue growth and margins
- Elevated debt levels
- Valuation gap to fair value
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term renewable energy tailwinds
- Expanding project pipeline (~20 GW)
- Improving EPS outlook
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth42.60%
Profit Margin11.53%
P/E Ratio208.3
ROE4.80%
ROA2.20%
Debt/Equity220.40
P/B Ratio5.4
Op. Cash Flow$319.6M
Free Cash Flow$-1842522112
Industry P/E21.5
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI49.7
Support$80.70
Resistance$96.00
MA 20$88.94
MA 50$79.64
MA 200$51.28
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.43
Valuation
Fair Value$25.24
Target Price$79.86
Upside/Downside-6.51%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta1.74
Volatility56.82%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.