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ENLT:NASDAQEnlight Renewable Energy Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-31 - not real-time

$68.00

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Enlight Renewable Energy is trading around $68, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of $72.46 but still above the 50‑day SMA of $66.90, indicating a short‑term pull‑back within a broader bullish framework (SMA‑200 at $41.16). Momentum is mixed: RSI sits near 47, suggesting neutral pressure, while the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, and trading volume has been declining. The stock is markedly overvalued, with a trailing PE of 68 versus an industry average of 22 and a DCF‑derived fair value of $18.37, implying a valuation gap of over 200%. Nonetheless, the company posted a 33% revenue surge, 72% gross margin, and expanded its renewable portfolio with a 120 MW solar‑plus‑400 MWh storage project in Idaho and a €304 M financing for the Crimson Orchard project, underscoring robust growth prospects. High 30‑day volatility (≈70%) and a beta of 0.88 add price swing risk, while a debt‑to‑equity ratio above 250 signals balance‑sheet pressure.
Given the strong pipeline and sector tailwinds, the medium‑term outlook remains positive, but the current price premium and weakening technical signals counsel caution. Investors should monitor upcoming project completions and any shifts in financing terms, as these could catalyze a re‑rating. The lack of dividend payout eliminates income considerations, and the company’s exposure across Israel, Europe, and the U.S. introduces moderate regulatory and geographic risk. Overall, the stock sits at a crossroads between growth momentum and valuation compression.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD histogram and decreasing volume
  • Current price above support but below short‑term SMA20
  • Extreme valuation premium relative to DCF fair value

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth and expanding project pipeline
  • Bullish overall trend direction and high gross margins
  • Continued overvaluation limiting upside without catalyst

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term demand for renewable generation and storage
  • Heavy debt load and balance‑sheet leverage
  • Potential for valuation correction as projects mature

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth33.00%
Profit Margin27.04%
P/E Ratio68.0
ROE9.35%
ROA2.08%
Debt/Equity256.70
P/B Ratio5.3
Op. Cash Flow$282.6M
Free Cash Flow$-1620484352
Industry P/E22.5

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI47.0
Support$63.77
Resistance$79.31
MA 20$72.46
MA 50$66.90
MA 200$41.16
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index74.61

Valuation

Fair Value$18.37
Target Price$68.43
Upside/Downside0.63%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta0.88
Volatility69.61%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.