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ENIC:NYSEEnel Chile S.A. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-31 - not real-time

$3.91

Latest Price

3/10Risk

Risk Level: Low

Executive Summary

Enel Chile (ENIC) trades at $3.905, well below its DCF‑derived fair value of $9.38, implying roughly a 6% upside despite a price‑to‑book of 52×. The stock’s trailing P/E of 10 is less than half the industry average of 22.5, reinforcing a value narrative, while the forward P/E of 0.02 signals strong earnings expectations. Technical indicators are mixed: the 20‑day SMA ($3.95) and 50‑day SMA ($4.15) sit above the current price, the RSI at 44.6 suggests neutral momentum, and a bearish MACD histogram hints at short‑term pressure near the identified support of $3.70. Volatility is elevated at 38.6% over 30 days, yet the beta of 0.65 points to lower systematic risk relative to the market. The company generates solid cash flow ($1.32 bn operating, $0.45 bn free) and maintains a modest dividend yield of 1.21% with a low payout ratio of 13.7%, supporting dividend sustainability. Debt is high (Debt/Equity ≈ 70) but backed by stable regulated assets, and the recent FY 2025 results met guidance, though the stock fell 10% on the earnings release, reflecting market skepticism. Overall, ENIC appears undervalued with a defensible dividend, renewable‑focused growth plans, and manageable risk, making it attractive for medium‑ to long‑term investors.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price is near the $3.70 support level
  • Bearish MACD and neutral RSI suggest limited upside
  • Increasing volume provides some liquidity cushion

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • DCF upside of ~6% and P/E well below industry average
  • Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio
  • Strategic 2026‑28 plan emphasizing renewable growth

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Regulated utility model offers stable cash flows
  • Renewable asset mix aligns with global energy transition
  • Low beta and defensive sector reduce systematic risk

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth162.90%
Profit Margin11.82%
P/E Ratio10.0
ROE10.74%
ROA4.69%
Debt/Equity69.71
P/B Ratio52.1
Op. Cash Flow$1.3B
Free Cash Flow$451.5M
Industry P/E22.5

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI44.6
Support$3.70
Resistance$4.15
MA 20$3.95
MA 50$4.15
MA 200$3.82
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index74.36

Valuation

Fair Value$9.38
Target Price$4.14
Upside/Downside5.94%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.21%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.65
Volatility38.58%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.