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ENGI11:BMFBOVESPAEnergisa SA Units Cons of 1 Sh + 4 Pfd Shs Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-20 - not real-time

R$48.59

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

ENGI11 is trading at R$48.59, comfortably below its 20‑day SMA of R$51.87 and 50‑day SMA of R$52.89, while the 200‑day SMA sits at R$48.72. The RSI at 34.5 signals oversold conditions, yet the MACD remains bearish with a negative histogram, and volume has been decreasing sharply from a 10‑day average of over 2.2 million shares to just 78,900 today. Support is anchored near R$47.16 and resistance near R$57.50, with a generous dividend yield of 6.87% and a price‑to‑book ratio below one (0.86), suggesting valuation headroom.
Risk metrics show a moderate beta of 0.82 and a max drawdown of roughly 18%, while the market sentiment is in an Extreme Greed phase (FGI 89.6). Liquidity concerns arise from the recent volume slump, but the sector’s defensive nature and low currency exposure keep overall risk at a manageable level. The short‑term outlook is cautious, but medium‑ and long‑term prospects are supported by the strong dividend, defensive utility positioning, and potential mean‑reversion toward the longer‑term moving averages.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price trading below 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs
  • RSI indicating oversold conditions but bearish MACD
  • Decreasing volume raising liquidity concerns

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Attractive 6.87% dividend yield
  • Undervalued price‑to‑book ratio (<1)
  • Potential mean‑reversion toward longer‑term moving averages

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Defensive utility sector with stable cash flows
  • Low beta indicating limited volatility
  • Sustained high dividend yield supporting total return

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Avg Daily Volume2,254,120
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI34.5
SupportR$47.16
ResistanceR$57.50
MA 20R$51.87
MA 50R$52.89
MA 200R$48.72
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.63

Risk Assessment

Beta0.82
Volatility27.34%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.