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ENERY:BISTEnerya Enerji A.S. Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-16 - not real-time

TRY 9.77

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Enerya Enerji is trading near the lower end of its recent range, with price comfortably above the identified support level. The stock’s 20‑day and 50‑day moving averages sit above the current price, indicating a modest short‑term weakness, while the MACD histogram is negative, suggesting bearish momentum. Nevertheless, the relative strength index sits around the midpoint, implying no extreme overbought or oversold condition. Fundamental metrics show a price‑to‑earnings multiple well below the sector average, and a price‑to‑book ratio that reflects a modest premium to book value. Cash generation is strong, with operating cash flow exceeding free cash flow and a payout ratio that is exceptionally low.
The company’s revenue growth remains robust and margins are healthy for a regulated utility, supporting a favorable outlook. Debt levels are modest relative to equity, and the balance sheet is bolstered by a sizable cash pile, which underpins dividend sustainability. Volatility is elevated, but beta is low, indicating limited systematic risk. The DCF model points to a fair value considerably higher than the market price, reinforcing the case for upside. In the context of an “Extreme Greed” market sentiment, the stock appears attractively priced and positioned for a rebound.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price near support with limited upside in the near term
  • bearish MACD momentum
  • strong cash position provides downside cushion

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • valuation gap between market price and DCF fair value
  • solid earnings growth and healthy margins
  • sustainable dividend supported by low payout ratio

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • stable regulated gas business with long‑term demand
  • low leverage and ample liquidity
  • consistent cash flow generation enabling dividend continuity

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth17.20%
Profit Margin14.04%
P/E Ratio14.0
ROE10.26%
ROA2.84%
Debt/Equity4.63
P/B Ratio1.5
Op. Cash FlowTRY7.2B
Free Cash FlowTRY4.9B
Industry P/E21.0

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI52.2
SupportTRY 9.09
ResistanceTRY 11.79
MA 20TRY 9.83
MA 50TRY 9.25
MA 200TRY 9.46
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.36

Valuation

Fair ValueTRY 14.85
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.17%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.48
Volatility64.27%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.