ENELCHILE:BCSEnel Chile SA Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-12 - not real-time
CLP 80.32
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Enel Chile trades at CLP 80.32, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA (≈76) and 50‑day SMA (≈78), indicating short‑term momentum, while the 200‑day SMA (≈74) still supports the price floor. The RSI sits at 60, suggesting the stock is not yet overbought, and the MACD histogram is positive, signaling a modest bullish bias despite a neutral overall trend. Earnings momentum is mixed: Q1 2026 EBITDA rose 16% YoY on lower gas costs, yet net income fell 7% and EPS missed forecasts, highlighting earnings volatility. The dividend yield remains attractive at 4.4% with a low payout ratio (~12%), supported by solid operating cash flow and a free cash flow margin of roughly 10% of revenue. Valuation metrics show a trailing P/E of 11.6 versus an industry average of 20.5, pointing to relative undervaluation, while the DCF‑derived upside is modest (~2.6%). High beta is absent (β≈0.5), but 30‑day volatility exceeds 30%, and volume trends are weakening, adding a layer of short‑term execution risk.
Overall, Enel Chile offers a blend of stable utility fundamentals, renewable‑growth prospects, and a generous dividend, but investors should watch for earnings pressure, regulatory shifts in Chile’s electricity market, and the narrowing technical upside near the 80.3 CLP resistance level.
Overall, Enel Chile offers a blend of stable utility fundamentals, renewable‑growth prospects, and a generous dividend, but investors should watch for earnings pressure, regulatory shifts in Chile’s electricity market, and the narrowing technical upside near the 80.3 CLP resistance level.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price approaching technical resistance at ~80.3 CLP
- Positive MACD histogram indicating limited upside
- Strong dividend yield providing downside cushion
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued P/E relative to industry peers
- EBITDA growth and renewable‑energy expansion projects
- Sustainable dividend supported by healthy cash flow
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term shift toward renewable generation in Chile
- Low beta and stable utility cash generation
- Consistent dividend policy with low payout ratio
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-1.70%
Profit Margin11.59%
P/E Ratio11.6
ROE10.16%
ROA4.26%
Debt/Equity68.85
P/B Ratio1043.1
Op. Cash FlowCLP1.3B
Free Cash FlowCLP509.0M
Industry P/E20.5
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI60.3
SupportCLP 73.01
ResistanceCLP 80.32
MA 20CLP 76.06
MA 50CLP 77.92
MA 200CLP 74.06
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Fair ValueCLP 0.05
Target PriceCLP 82.43
Upside/Downside2.63%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.41%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.54
Volatility30.95%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.