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ENEL:MILEnel SpA Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-28 - not real-time

€9.60

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Enel shares are trading at €9.60, comfortably above the computed support of €9.32 and below the resistance of €9.95. The price sits above the 20‑day SMA (9.70) and the 50‑day SMA (9.66), which are both above the 200‑day SMA (8.97), indicating a bullish medium‑term trend. However, the MACD has turned bearish and volume is decreasing, tempering short‑term momentum. Fundamentals show a trailing PE of 25.3 versus an industry average of 21.9 – suggesting the stock is priced on the higher side – but a forward PE of 12.8 points to significant upside potential. The dividend yield is attractive at 5.4% but the payout ratio exceeds 100%, raising sustainability concerns. Recent earnings commentary highlights strong network contributions to EBITDA, while revenue growth remains negative at –6.7%.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price above support with bullish SMA alignment
  • Bearish MACD histogram and decreasing volume
  • Attractive dividend yield offset by high payout ratio

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Forward PE of 12.8 indicating upside to target ~€10.2
  • Strong network EBITDA contribution and stable cash flow
  • High dividend yield despite sustainability concerns

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Elevated debt‑to‑equity (~140) and leverage risk
  • Transition to renewables offering growth but requiring capital
  • Regulatory environment and dividend sustainability uncertainties

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-6.70%
Profit Margin5.24%
P/E Ratio25.3
ROE10.64%
ROA4.71%
Debt/Equity139.94
P/B Ratio3.9
Op. Cash Flow€14.2B
Free Cash Flow€1.6B
Industry P/E21.9

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI46.5
Support€9.32
Resistance€9.95
MA 20€9.70
MA 50€9.66
MA 200€8.97
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.07

Valuation

Target Price€10.22
Upside/Downside6.45%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield5.42%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.28
Volatility22.89%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.