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EMXC:NASDAQiShares MSCI Emerging Markets ex China ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-31 - not real-time

$77.57

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

EMXC is trading at $77.57, which sits below its 20‑day SMA of 79.29 and 50‑day SMA of 81.33, but comfortably above the 200‑day SMA of 71.29 and the identified support level of 75.08. The RSI of 44.2 indicates neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram remains in bearish territory, suggesting short‑term downside pressure. Volatility remains elevated at roughly 35.6% over the past 30 days, and the Fear & Greed Index at 74 (Greed) reflects a market environment that is currently risk‑on.
Fundamentally, EMXC has delivered a strong YTD return of 20.4% and offers a dividend yield of 2.34% with a low expense ratio of 0.25%. Its beta of 0.78 signals lower sensitivity to market swings compared with many emerging‑market peers, and the fund’s ex‑China focus reduces exposure to geopolitical and regulatory headwinds in China. Overall, the ETF blends solid recent performance with diversified emerging‑market exposure, but the near‑term technical picture remains mixed.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near recent support at $75.08
  • Bearish MACD histogram
  • High 30‑day volatility (~35.6%)

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong YTD return of 20.4%
  • Price above 200‑day SMA providing long‑term trend support
  • Favorable macro backdrop (dollar weakness, AI‑driven capex in emerging markets)

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Diversified exposure excluding China reduces geopolitical risk
  • Attractive dividend yield of 2.34% and low expense ratio
  • Moderate beta (0.78) indicating limited market sensitivity

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.25%
AUM$18.0B
Inception Date2017-07-18
Avg Daily Volume6,847,830
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield2.34%

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI44.2
Support$75.08
Resistance$83.25
MA 20$79.29
MA 50$81.33
MA 200$71.29
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index74.02

Risk Assessment

Beta0.78
Volatility35.59%
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.